BetSweep Week 5 Receipt

ReceiptWeek 5 · model vs reality

5.5PPR mean abs error · 234 pre-kickoff calls graded · all 253 incl. late freezes: 5.5

BSBetSweep model

By positionQB 9.2RB 5.3WR 5.7TE 4.5FanDuel legsno legs graded

Biggest beats actual over projection

Drake Maye QB NEproj 16.4 → actual 47.5+31.0
Jameis Winston QB NYGproj 11.9 → actual 33.7+21.8
Jaylen Warren RB PITproj 17.4 → actual 36.8+19.4
Parker Washington WR JAXproj 11.1 → actual 30.4+19.3
Bucky Irving RB TBproj 12.6 → actual 31.5+18.9

Biggest busts projection over actual

Tyler Shough QB NOproj 23.4 → actual -0.2-23.5
CeeDee Lamb WR DALproj 24.6 → actual 2.9-21.7
Chris Olave WR NOproj 24.6 → actual 8.6-16.0
Tee Higgins WR CINproj 19.1 → actual 4.2-14.9
RJ Harvey RB DENproj 15.4 → actual 0.7-14.7

Nailed it closest calls, 10+ pt projections

Daniel Jones QB INDproj 11.2 → actual 11.1-0.1
Javonte Williams RB DALproj 14.1 → actual 14.2+0.1
Dontayvion Wicks WR PHIproj 11.4 → actual 11.3-0.1
Malik Washington WR MIAproj 12.4 → actual 12.1-0.3
Aaron Jones RB MINproj 20.2 → actual 20.7+0.5

Legs by market frozen pre-kickoff

No frozen FanDuel legs for this week (leg freezing started Week 6).

TBTBBuccaneers

24–16final · AT&T Stadium

DALDALCowboys

TB @ DALno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

TBBuccaneers10 graded · PPR MAE 4.7 · 10 late freeze
QB
Jalon Danielslate freeze189 pass yds · 23 rush · 1 TDproj 72.3 / 32

15.9proj 9.0+6.9
RB
Bucky Irvinglate freeze165 rush yds · 2 rec, 10 yds · 2 TDproj 60.5 rush / 3.25 rec, 15.3

31.5proj 12.6+18.9
RB
Kenny Gainwelllate freeze18 rush yds · 3 rec, 10 yds · 0 TDproj 6.5 rush / 2 rec, 11

5.8proj 5.3+0.5
RB
Sean Tuckerlate freeze18 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 10 rush / 0 rec, 0

1.8proj 3.3-1.5
WR
Emeka Egbukalate freeze6 rec · 38 yds · 1 TDproj 3.75 rec / 38.5 yds

17.2proj 8.7+8.5
WR
Chris Godwin Jr.late freeze3 rec · 37 yds · 0 TDproj 4 rec / 35.5 yds

7.0proj 8.2-1.2
WR
Ted Hurst IIIlate freezeproj 2 rec / 32 yds

proj 6.5no stat row
WR
Tez Johnsonlate freeze1 rec · 64 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 18.5 yds

7.4proj 3.5+3.9
TE
Cade Ottonlate freeze3 rec · 25 yds · 0 TDproj 3.75 rec / 37.1 yds

5.5proj 8.2-2.7
TE
Payne Durhamlate freeze1 rec · 5 yds · 0 TDproj 0 rec / 0 yds

1.5proj 0.8+0.7
K
Chase McLaughlinlate freezekicker

6.0proj 8.5-2.5

DALCowboys9 graded · PPR MAE 7.1 · 9 late freeze
QB
Dak Prescottlate freeze316 pass yds · 0 rush · 1 TDproj 243.7 / 16.5

14.6proj 22.5-7.9
RB
Javonte Williamslate freeze45 rush yds · 2 rec, 17 yds · 1 TDproj 46.1 rush / 3.75 rec, 19.3

14.2proj 14.1+0.1
RB
Tyler Goodsonlate freezeproj 13.6 rush / 0.5 rec, -2.5

proj 3.0no stat row
RB
Emari Demercadolate freezeproj 6 rush / 0 rec, 0

proj 2.0no stat row
WR
CeeDee Lamblate freeze2 rec · 9 yds · 0 TDproj 9.25 rec / 124.5 yds

2.9proj 24.6-21.7
WR
George Pickenslate freeze9 rec · 130 yds · 1 TDproj 4.5 rec / 56.3 yds

28.0proj 10.8+17.1
WR
Ryan Flournoylate freeze3 rec · 90 yds · 0 TDproj 3.25 rec / 26 yds

12.0proj 6.6+5.4
WR
Jonathan Mingolate freeze2 rec · 20 yds · 0 TDproj 0.72 rec / 8.4 yds

4.0proj 2.3+1.7
TE
Jake Fergusonlate freeze3 rec · 19 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 24.4 yds

4.9proj 7.1-2.2
TE
Brevyn Spann-Fordlate freeze0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 0.75 rec / 9.7 yds

0.0proj 2.4-2.4
K
Brandon Aubreylate freezekicker

4.0proj 9.3-5.3

INDINDColts

22–34final · Acrisure Stadium

PITPITSteelers

IND @ PITno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

INDColts8 graded · PPR MAE 3.5
QB
Daniel Jones267 pass yds · 4 rush · 0 TDproj 176.2 / 5.3

11.1proj 11.2-0.1
RB
Jonathan Taylor45 rush yds · 3 rec, 37 yds · 0 TDproj 89 rush / 2.5 rec, 17.3

11.2proj 17.5-6.3
RB
Seth McGowan16 rush yds · 1 rec, 3 yds · 0 TDproj 11.3 rush / 0.5 rec, 1.8

2.9proj 3.0-0.1
WR
Josh Downs3 rec · 47 yds · 0 TDproj 4.25 rec / 50.5 yds

7.7proj 11.6-3.9
WR
Keenan Allen5 rec · 45 yds · 0 TDproj 4.3 rec / 39 yds

9.5proj 10.4-0.9
TE
Tyler Warren7 rec · 83 yds · 1 TDproj 5.75 rec / 26.6 yds

21.4proj 10.7+10.7
TE
Mo Alie-Cox2 rec · 14 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 13.1 yds

3.4proj 3.1+0.3
K
Spencer Shraderkicker

16.0proj 10.1+5.9

PITSteelers8 graded · PPR MAE 9.1
QB
Aaron Rodgers235 pass yds · 6 rush · 3 TDproj 257.3 / 3

28.0proj 18.9+9.1
RB
Jaylen Warren101 rush yds · 6 rec, 87 yds · 2 TDproj 77.7 rush / 3.25 rec, 35.8

36.8proj 17.4+19.4
RB
Rico Dowdleproj 18.6 rush / 2 rec, 14

proj 7.0no stat row
WR
DK Metcalf3 rec · 12 yds · 0 TDproj 4 rec / 53.3 yds

5.3proj 11.6-6.3
WR
Roman Wilson0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 3.5 rec / 47 yds

0.0proj 9.9-9.9
WR
Germie Bernard6 rec · 80 yds · 0 TDproj 2.33 rec / 20 yds

14.4proj 5.5+8.9
TE
Pat Freiermuth5 rec · 44 yds · 2 TDproj 3.5 rec / 33.1 yds

21.5proj 8.5+13.0
TE
Darnell Washington2 rec · 12 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 31.5 yds

3.2proj 6.5-3.3
K
Chris Boswellkicker

10.0proj 7.3+2.7

DENDENBroncos

23–17final · SoFi Stadium

LACLACChargers

DEN @ LACno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

DENBroncos7 graded · PPR MAE 6.3
QB
Bo Nix123 pass yds · 10 rush · 1 TDproj 191.5 / 6.3

11.9proj 15.0-3.1
RB
RJ Harvey7 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 22.6 rush / 6.37 rec, 42.4

0.7proj 15.4-14.7
RB
J.K. Dobbins68 rush yds · 2 rec, 6 yds · 1 TDproj 52.3 rush / 0.75 rec, 4

15.4proj 9.1+6.3
WR
Jaylen Waddle2 rec · 19 yds · 0 TDproj 4 rec / 46.2 yds

4.8proj 10.7-5.9
WR
Courtland Sutton2 rec · 18 yds · 1 TDproj 2.25 rec / 21.5 yds

9.8proj 6.5+3.3
TE
Evan Engram4 rec · 55 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 16.2 yds

9.5proj 4.0+5.5
TE
Adam Trautmanproj 1 rec / 4.9 yds

proj 2.1no stat row
K
Wil Lutzkicker

11.0proj 5.6+5.4

LACChargers7 graded · PPR MAE 4.7
QB
Justin Herbert121 pass yds · 54 rush · 1 TDproj 219.8 / 22

14.2proj 15.1-0.8
RB
Omarion Hampton33 rush yds · 1 rec, 6 yds · 0 TDproj 64.7 rush / 1 rec, 7.3

4.9proj 11.6-6.7
RB
Keaton Mitchell11 rush yds · 3 rec, 18 yds · 0 TDproj 33.7 rush / 2.25 rec, 8.5

5.9proj 8.4-2.5
RB
Kimani Vidal57 rush yds · 1 rec, -1 yds · 1 TDproj 11.2 rush / 1 rec, 8.3

12.6proj 4.0+8.6
WR
Tre Harris2 rec · 16 yds · 0 TDproj 3.25 rec / 52.3 yds

3.6proj 10.2-6.6
WR
Ladd McConkeyproj 3 rec / 45.8 yds

proj 8.8no stat row
TE
Oronde Gadsden II0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 22.3 yds

0.0proj 6.0-6.0
K
Cameron Dickerkicker

5.0proj 6.7-1.7

SFSF49ers

32–29final · Lumen Field

SEASEASeahawks

SF @ SEAno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

SF49ers9 graded · PPR MAE 4.2
QB
Brock Purdy189 pass yds · 6 rush · 2 TDproj 207.1 / 30.5

18.2proj 26.9-8.7
RB
Christian McCaffrey68 rush yds · 3 rec, 15 yds · 1 TDproj 50.7 rush / 4 rec, 30.5

17.3proj 16.4+0.9
RB
Kaelon Black16 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 27.9 rush / 0.25 rec, 1.3

1.6proj 4.6-3.0
RB
Jordan James0 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 14 rush / 0 rec, 0

0.0proj 2.7-2.7
WR
Mike Evans7 rec · 113 yds · 1 TDproj 4.25 rec / 53.2 yds

24.3proj 11.5+12.8
WR
Deebo Samuel Sr.2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TDproj 3.5 rec / 46.3 yds

4.5proj 10.0-5.5
WR
Jordan Watkinsproj 1.44 rec / 25.1 yds

proj 4.7no stat row
TE
George Kittle5 rec · 24 yds · 0 TDproj 4 rec / 44.5 yds

7.4proj 10.4-3.0
TE
Luke Farrell0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 0.5 rec / 3.5 yds

0.0proj 1.1-1.1
K
Eddy Pineirokicker

6.0proj 6.5-0.5

SEASeahawks9 graded · PPR MAE 3.2
QB
Sam Darnold195 pass yds · 5 rush · 1 TDproj 174.4 / 3.7

10.3proj 16.4-6.1
RB
Emanuel Wilson61 rush yds · 2 rec, 11 yds · 1 TDproj 59 rush / 0.75 rec, 9.8

15.2proj 11.7+3.5
RB
George Holani7 rush yds · 4 rec, 24 yds · 0 TDproj 20.2 rush / 1.75 rec, 13

7.1proj 6.9+0.2
WR
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5 rec · 102 yds · 1 TDproj 8 rec / 120.3 yds

22.8proj 23.6-0.8
WR
Cooper Kupp2 rec · 15 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 28.5 yds

3.5proj 6.1-2.6
WR
Tory Hortonproj 2 rec / 27 yds

proj 5.5no stat row
WR
Rashid Shaheed2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TDproj 1.75 rec / 18.3 yds

4.3proj 4.9-0.6
TE
AJ Barner3 rec · 20 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 20.6 yds

5.0proj 6.2-1.2
TE
Elijah Arroyo0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 13.7 yds

0.0proj 3.1-3.1
K
Jason Myerskicker

17.0proj 6.7+10.3

HOUHOUTexans

26–3final · Nissan Stadium

TENTENTitans

HOU @ TENno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

HOUTexans10 graded · PPR MAE 4.2
QB
C.J. Stroud261 pass yds · 5 rush · 2 TDproj 242.2 / 16.5

22.9proj 16.5+6.4
RB
David Montgomery11 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 35.6 rush / 1.75 rec, 16.8

1.1proj 9.1-8.0
RB
Woody Marks62 rush yds · 4 rec, 23 yds · 0 TDproj 24.4 rush / 1.75 rec, 7.8

12.5proj 7.1+5.4
WR
Nico Collins5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TDproj 6.33 rec / 85.5 yds

10.6proj 17.6-7.0
WR
Xavier Hutchinson4 rec · 65 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 41.5 yds

10.5proj 9.0+1.5
WR
Kayshon Boutte3 rec · 38 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 28.7 yds

6.8proj 6.2+0.6
WR
Jared Wayne0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1.63 rec / 25.2 yds

0.0proj 5.3-5.3
TE
Dalton Schultz3 rec · 30 yds · 0 TDproj 2.28 rec / 16.5 yds

6.0proj 5.8+0.2
TE
Foster Moreau2 rec · 8 yds · 0 TDproj 1.75 rec / 10.1 yds

2.8proj 3.7-0.9
K
Ka'imi Fairbairnkicker

14.0proj 7.8+6.2

TENTitans9 graded · PPR MAE 5.7
QB
Cam Ward170 pass yds · 2 rush · 0 TDproj 207 / 14.3

5.0proj 15.7-10.7
RB
Tony Pollard52 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 53.8 rush / 2 rec, 6

5.2proj 13.2-8.0
RB
Tyjae Spears0 rush yds · 9 rec, 28 yds · 0 TDproj 15.8 rush / 1.25 rec, 10

11.8proj 4.7+7.1
RB
Nicholas Singletonproj 5.8 rush / 0 rec, 0

proj 1.2no stat row
WR
Carnell Tate1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TDproj 5.5 rec / 67 yds

1.6proj 14.5-12.9
WR
Wan'Dale Robinson6 rec · 53 yds · 0 TDproj 4 rec / 30.8 yds

11.3proj 9.2+2.1
WR
Elic Ayomanor1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TDproj 1.25 rec / 28.3 yds

2.7proj 5.2-2.5
TE
Gunnar Helm0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 17.9 yds

0.0proj 5.0-5.0
TE
Daniel Bellinger1 rec · 5 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 7.5 yds

1.5proj 2.2-0.7
K
Joey Slyekicker

3.0proj 5.5-2.5

CLECLEBrowns

12–17final · MetLife Stadium

NYJNYJJets

CLE @ NYJno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

CLEBrowns8 graded · PPR MAE 4.4
QB
Deshaun Watson155 pass yds · 40 rush · 1 TDproj 213.8 / 31.8

16.2proj 19.3-3.1
RB
Quinshon Judkins44 rush yds · 3 rec, 6 yds · 0 TDproj 50.6 rush / 3.75 rec, 24

8.0proj 14.9-6.9
RB
Raheim Sanders12 rush yds · 1 rec, 1 yds · 0 TDproj 8.9 rush / 2.5 rec, 18.3

2.3proj 6.1-3.8
WR
Denzel Boston3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TDproj 3.25 rec / 71 yds

13.6proj 12.0+1.6
WR
KC Concepcion1 rec · 5 yds · 0 TDproj 4.25 rec / 36 yds

1.5proj 10.0-8.5
WR
Jerry Jeudy3 rec · 19 yds · 0 TDproj 1.67 rec / 20.7 yds

4.9proj 4.5+0.4
TE
Harold Fannin Jr.1 rec · 4 yds · 0 TDproj 4.25 rec / 39.6 yds

1.4proj 10.3-8.9
TE
Blake Whiteheartproj 0.66 rec / 10.7 yds

proj 2.2no stat row
K
Andre Szmytkicker

6.0proj 7.7-1.7

NYJJets7 graded · PPR MAE 4.8
QB
Geno Smith182 pass yds · 7 rush · 1 TDproj 221.2 / 9

14.0proj 16.9-2.9
RB
Braelon Allen116 rush yds · 1 rec, 0 yds · 1 TDproj 65.8 rush / 1.5 rec, 4.8

18.6proj 11.0+7.6
WR
Garrett Wilson7 rec · 104 yds · 1 TDproj 6 rec / 67.5 yds

23.4proj 15.3+8.1
WR
Isaiah Williams1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TDproj 2.5 rec / 33.7 yds

2.9proj 7.0-4.1
TE
Kenyon Sadiq2 rec · 3 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 38.8 yds

2.3proj 8.5-6.2
TE
Mason Taylor3 rec · 24 yds · 0 TDproj 2 rec / -2.2 yds

5.4proj 2.6+2.8
K
Jason Sanderskicker

5.0proj 7.2-2.2

LVLVRaiders

17–45final · Gillette Stadium

NENEPatriots

LV @ NEno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

LVRaiders8 graded · PPR MAE 4.9
QB
Kirk Cousins243 pass yds · 0 rush · 1 TDproj 200.1 / -0.5

15.7proj 19.8-4.0
RB
Ashton Jeanty27 rush yds · 3 rec, 50 yds · 0 TDproj 57.5 rush / 4.75 rec, 41.3

10.7proj 19.7-9.0
RB
Mike Washington Jr.5 rush yds · 1 rec, 5 yds · 0 TDproj 26.1 rush / 0.25 rec, -0.3

2.0proj 3.9-1.9
WR
Tre Tucker4 rec · 41 yds · 0 TDproj 3.75 rec / 58.2 yds

7.5proj 11.3-3.8
WR
Cody White2 rec · 44 yds · 0 TDproj 1.25 rec / 16 yds

6.4proj 4.1+2.3
TE
Brock Bowers8 rec · 110 yds · 1 TDproj 8 rec / 73.5 yds

25.0proj 19.3+5.7
TE
Michael Mayer1 rec · 2 yds · 0 TDproj 5 rec / 30.8 yds

1.2proj 9.9-8.7
K
Matt Gaykicker

5.0proj 8.9-3.9

NEPatriots9 graded · PPR MAE 9.6
QB
Drake Maye374 pass yds · 25 rush · 5 TDproj 220.8 / 34

47.5proj 16.4+31.0
RB
Rhamondre Stevenson64 rush yds · 3 rec, 21 yds · 1 TDproj 45.8 rush / 3 rec, 22.5

17.5proj 12.0+5.5
RB
TreVeyon Henderson22 rush yds · 1 rec, 16 yds · 0 TDproj 52.8 rush / 0.33 rec, 2

4.8proj 7.5-2.8
RB
Corey Kiner52 rush yds · 1 rec, 7 yds · 0 TDproj 8.2 rush / 0.25 rec, 2.3

6.9proj 1.7+5.2
WR
Romeo Doubs1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 50.8 yds

2.6proj 10.0-7.4
WR
DeMario Douglas4 rec · 65 yds · 2 TDproj 2.25 rec / 20.5 yds

22.5proj 5.5+17.0
TE
Hunter Henry3 rec · 44 yds · 1 TDproj 3 rec / 30.7 yds

13.4proj 7.3+6.1
TE
Eli Raridon5 rec · 57 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 13.5 yds

10.7proj 3.3+7.4
K
Andy Borregaleskicker

9.0proj 5.1+3.9

DETDETLions

45–21final · State Farm Stadium

ARIARICardinals

DET @ ARIno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

DETLions9 graded · PPR MAE 5.8
QB
Jared Goff271 pass yds · 1 rush · 4 TDproj 295.6 / 3.8

34.9proj 26.3+8.6
RB
Jahmyr Gibbs151 rush yds · 5 rec, 56 yds · 2 TDproj 92.5 rush / 5.5 rec, 46.8

37.7proj 25.2+12.5
RB
Sione Vaki11 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 10.5 rush / 1 rec, 13

1.1proj 4.0-2.9
WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown6 rec · 69 yds · 0 TDproj 7.75 rec / 75.7 yds

12.9proj 19.1-6.2
WR
Jameson Williams2 rec · 47 yds · 2 TDproj 4 rec / 57.2 yds

18.7proj 11.3+7.4
WR
Isaac TeSlaa0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 46.7 yds

0.0proj 8.4-8.4
TE
Sam LaPorta5 rec · 88 yds · 1 TDproj 5.5 rec / 58.4 yds

19.8proj 14.4+5.4
TE
Brock Wright1 rec · 11 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 5.1 yds

2.1proj 2.1+0.0
K
Jake Bateskicker

9.0proj 8.2+0.8

ARICardinals9 graded · PPR MAE 5.8
QB
Jacoby Brissett292 pass yds · 19 rush · 3 TDproj 252.9 / 10.8

31.3proj 21.6+9.6
RB
Jeremiyah Love22 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 58.2 rush / 2.75 rec, 9

2.2proj 12.9-10.7
RB
Tyler Allgeier7 rush yds · 2 rec, 9 yds · 0 TDproj 29.2 rush / 2.5 rec, 8.8

3.6proj 8.3-4.7
RB
Bam Knight8 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 25 rush / 0 rec, 0

0.8proj 3.8-3.0
WR
Michael Wilson4 rec · 30 yds · 0 TDproj 6.25 rec / 64.5 yds

7.3proj 17.0-9.7
WR
Kendrick Bourne5 rec · 70 yds · 0 TDproj 3.46 rec / 34.8 yds

12.0proj 8.4+3.6
TE
Trey McBride9 rec · 66 yds · 1 TDproj 8.25 rec / 77.9 yds

21.6proj 20.1+1.5
TE
Elijah Higgins3 rec · 57 yds · 0 TDproj 1.67 rec / 16.7 yds

8.7proj 4.1+4.6
K
Chad Rylandkicker

3.0proj 7.8-4.8

PHIPHIEagles

17–19final · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

JAXJAXJaguars

PHI @ JAXno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

PHIEagles8 graded · PPR MAE 3.3
QB
Jalen Hurts220 pass yds · 2 rush · 1 TDproj 186.8 / 26.3

15.0proj 19.0-4.0
RB
Will Shipley6 rush yds · 1 rec, 7 yds · 1 TDproj 30.7 rush / 1 rec, 6

8.3proj 7.0+1.3
WR
Dontayvion Wicks5 rec · 63 yds · 0 TDproj 3.54 rec / 58.1 yds

11.3proj 11.4-0.1
WR
Makai Lemon5 rec · 43 yds · 0 TDproj 2.5 rec / 16.3 yds

9.3proj 5.4+3.9
WR
Darius Cooper2 rec · 71 yds · 1 TDproj 1.25 rec / 14.8 yds

15.1proj 4.3+10.8
TE
Dallas Goedert6 rec · 38 yds · 0 TDproj 2.5 rec / 32.9 yds

9.8proj 7.1+2.7
TE
Zach Ertz0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 8.9 yds

0.0proj 3.5-3.5
K
Jake Elliottkicker

5.0proj 5.3-0.3

JAXJaguars10 graded · PPR MAE 5.0
QB
Trevor Lawrence331 pass yds · 25 rush · 2 TDproj 197.9 / 8.5

25.7proj 17.8+7.9
RB
Bhayshul Tuten72 rush yds · 2 rec, 24 yds · 0 TDproj 72.7 rush / 1.75 rec, 13.5

11.6proj 13.3-1.7
RB
Chris Rodriguez Jr.5 rush yds · 1 rec, 6 yds · 0 TDproj 28.4 rush / 0 rec, 0

2.1proj 4.1-2.0
RB
Ameer Abdullah0 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 11.8 rush / 0.5 rec, 0.5

0.0proj 2.2-2.2
WR
Parker Washington6 rec · 124 yds · 2 TDproj 3.69 rec / 52.6 yds

30.4proj 11.1+19.3
WR
Jakobi Meyers2 rec · 37 yds · 0 TDproj 3.25 rec / 41.3 yds

5.7proj 8.8-3.1
WR
Brian Thomas Jr.0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 2.25 rec / 26.3 yds

0.0proj 6.0-6.0
TE
Brenton Strange7 rec · 68 yds · 0 TDproj 3.5 rec / 35.2 yds

13.8proj 8.4+5.4
TE
Nate Boerkircher2 rec · 20 yds · 0 TDproj 0.67 rec / 6.7 yds

4.0proj 1.9+2.1
K
Cam Littlekicker

7.0proj 7.8-0.8

NYGNYGGiants

27–27final · Northwest Stadium

WASWASCommanders

NYG @ WASno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

NYGGiants9 graded · PPR MAE 7.7
QB
Jameis Winston326 pass yds · 27 rush · 3 TDproj 156.4 / 5

33.7proj 11.9+21.8
RB
Cam Skattebo59 rush yds · 2 rec, 12 yds · 0 TDproj 51.7 rush / 2 rec, 16.8

9.1proj 12.1-3.0
RB
Devin Singletaryproj 11 rush / 2 rec, 11

proj 5.7no stat row
RB
Najee Harris9 rush yds · 1 rec, 5 yds · 0 TDproj 25.8 rush / 0 rec, 0

2.4proj 4.1-1.7
WR
Malik Nabers11 rec · 121 yds · 1 TDproj 4.5 rec / 52 yds

29.1proj 11.5+17.6
WR
Malachi Fields2 rec · 20 yds · 0 TDproj 2 rec / 31.5 yds

4.0proj 6.2-2.2
WR
Darnell Mooney2 rec · 14 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 23.7 yds

3.4proj 4.7-1.3
TE
Isaiah Likely11 rec · 94 yds · 2 TDproj 5.5 rec / 65.8 yds

32.4proj 14.6+17.8
TE
Theo Johnson2 rec · 35 yds · 0 TDproj 0.67 rec / 9.2 yds

5.5proj 2.3+3.2
K
Dominic Zvadakicker

9.0proj 8.3+0.7

WASCommanders10 graded · PPR MAE 4.4
QB
Jayden Daniels199 pass yds · 103 rush · 2 TDproj 131.7 / 50

30.3proj 19.5+10.7
RB
Rachaad White18 rush yds · 1 rec, 2 yds · 0 TDproj 37.5 rush / 3 rec, 17

3.0proj 10.8-7.8
RB
Jacory Croskey-Merritt82 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 1 TDproj 44.2 rush / 1.25 rec, 10

14.2proj 9.1+5.1
RB
Austin Ekeler-1 rush yds · 1 rec, 15 yds · 0 TDproj 32.7 rush / 1 rec, 11

2.4proj 6.7-4.3
WR
Terry McLaurin4 rec · 62 yds · 0 TDproj 4.04 rec / 56.1 yds

10.2proj 12.1-1.9
WR
Antonio Williams3 rec · 31 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 31 yds

6.1proj 7.6-1.5
WR
Dyami Brown1 rec · 2 yds · 0 TDproj 1.75 rec / 21.5 yds

1.2proj 5.2-4.0
TE
Chig Okonkwo4 rec · 60 yds · 0 TDproj 2 rec / 9.6 yds

10.0proj 4.0+6.0
TE
John Bates1 rec · 1 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 10 yds

1.1proj 3.4-2.2
K
Drew Stevenskicker

7.0proj 6.2+0.8

CINCINBengals

31–24final · Hard Rock Stadium

MIAMIADolphins

CIN @ MIAno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

CINBengals9 graded · PPR MAE 7.3
QB
Joe Burrow190 pass yds · 10 rush · 4 TDproj 254.5 / 9.5

32.6proj 20.4+12.2
RB
Chase Brown39 rush yds · 3 rec, 21 yds · 0 TDproj 50.5 rush / 5.25 rec, 25.8

9.0proj 16.0-7.0
RB
Samaje Perine68 rush yds · 2 rec, 10 yds · 1 TDproj 10.3 rush / 1.25 rec, 12.8

15.8proj 4.7+11.1
WR
Tee Higgins2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TDproj 6.25 rec / 100.2 yds

4.2proj 19.1-14.9
WR
Ja'Marr Chase6 rec · 77 yds · 1 TDproj 5.25 rec / 53 yds

19.7proj 12.9+6.8
WR
Mitchell Tinsleyproj 4.05 rec / 56.7 yds

proj 10.7no stat row
WR
Dohnte Meyers2 rec · 12 yds · 0 TDproj 2.75 rec / 32.3 yds

3.2proj 7.2-4.0
TE
Mike Gesicki1 rec · 4 yds · 1 TDproj 3.67 rec / 74.9 yds

7.4proj 13.2-5.8
TE
Erick All3 rec · 25 yds · 0 TDproj 2 rec / 7.2 yds

5.5proj 3.5+2.0
K
Evan McPhersonkicker

7.0proj 9.2-2.2

MIADolphins9 graded · PPR MAE 3.2
QB
Malik Willis137 pass yds · 74 rush · 2 TDproj 201.1 / 28

20.9proj 12.5+8.4
RB
Ollie Gordon II88 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 1 TDproj 61.4 rush / 1.58 rec, 6

14.8proj 10.5+4.3
RB
Jaylen Wright11 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 8.2 rush / 0 rec, 0

1.1proj 1.7-0.6
WR
Malik Washington6 rec · 43 yds · 0 TDproj 4.25 rec / 54.8 yds

12.1proj 12.4-0.3
WR
Chris Bell0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1.25 rec / 23 yds

2.6proj 4.6-2.0
WR
Kevin Coleman Jr.3 rec · 30 yds · 1 TDproj 0.67 rec / 2 yds

12.0proj 2.0+10.0
TE
Greg Dulcich4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TDproj 3 rec / 46.8 yds

7.7proj 9.0-1.3
TE
Will Kacmarek1 rec · 5 yds · 0 TDproj 0.5 rec / 7.4 yds

1.5proj 1.6-0.1
K
Riley Pattersonkicker

4.0proj 6.2-2.2

CHICHIBears

7–31final · Lambeau Field

GBGBPackers

CHI @ GBno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

CHIBears9 graded · PPR MAE 5.8
QB
Tyson Bagent87 pass yds · 17 rush · 0 TDproj 226.3 / 7.6

1.2proj 12.6-11.4
RB
D'Andre Swift43 rush yds · 4 rec, 30 yds · 1 TDproj 124.8 rush / 2.5 rec, 21

17.3proj 23.0-5.7
RB
Roschon Johnson6 rush yds · 5 rec, 34 yds · 0 TDproj 11.8 rush / 0.45 rec, 3.1

9.0proj 3.0+6.0
WR
Luther Burden III4 rec · 47 yds · 0 TDproj 4.75 rec / 54.8 yds

8.9proj 12.9-4.0
WR
Kalif Raymond3 rec · 6 yds · 0 TDproj 5.25 rec / 55 yds

3.4proj 12.4-9.0
WR
Rome Odunze3 rec · 40 yds · 0 TDproj 3.5 rec / 58.2 yds

7.0proj 11.0-4.0
TE
Colston Loveland2 rec · 19 yds · 0 TDproj 2.75 rec / 18.6 yds

3.9proj 6.5-2.6
TE
Sam Roush0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 9 yds

0.0proj 2.5-2.5
K
Cairo Santoskicker

1.0proj 8.0-7.0

GBPackers8 graded · PPR MAE 5.7
QB
Jordan Love367 pass yds · 6 rush · 2 TDproj 221.7 / -2

27.3proj 17.4+9.8
RB
MarShawn Lloyd31 rush yds · 1 rec, 6 yds · 2 TDproj 22.5 rush / 2.25 rec, 12.2

16.7proj 8.9+7.8
RB
Kaleb Johnson26 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 21.1 rush / 0.25 rec, 2.5

2.6proj 3.8-1.2
WR
Christian Watson6 rec · 143 yds · 2 TDproj 5 rec / 82.8 yds

32.3proj 16.3+16.0
WR
Matthew Golden6 rec · 123 yds · 0 TDproj 4.5 rec / 68.5 yds

18.3proj 14.1+4.2
WR
Skyy Moore1 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 8.8 yds

1.0proj 3.7-2.7
TE
Tucker Kraft5 rec · 64 yds · 0 TDproj 3.75 rec / 28.1 yds

11.6proj 9.1+2.5
TE
Jonnu Smithproj 1.67 rec / 21.5 yds

proj 4.7no stat row
K
Trey Smackkicker

5.0proj 6.2-1.2

BUFBUFBills

37–34final · SoFi Stadium

LALARams

BUF @ LAno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

BUFBills8 graded · PPR MAE 3.5
QB
Josh Allen210 pass yds · 121 rush · 2 TDproj 196.2 / 29.5

30.5proj 27.7+2.8
RB
James Cook111 rush yds · 1 rec, 7 yds · 2 TDproj 97.2 rush / 1.5 rec, 6

24.8proj 16.1+8.7
RB
Ty Johnson0 rush yds · 4 rec, 72 yds · 0 TDproj 1.4 rush / 3 rec, 29.5

11.2proj 7.2+4.0
WR
Keon Coleman1 rec · 7 yds · 1 TDproj 3.5 rec / 54.3 yds

7.7proj 10.5-2.8
WR
Khalil Shakir3 rec · 80 yds · 0 TDproj 3.75 rec / 44 yds

11.0proj 10.0+1.0
WR
DJ Mooreproj 3 rec / 44.5 yds

proj 9.0no stat row
TE
Dalton Kincaid1 rec · 7 yds · 0 TDproj 2.15 rec / 25.9 yds

1.7proj 6.1-4.4
TE
Dawson Knox1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 5 yds

1.6proj 2.8-1.2
K
Tyler Basskicker

11.0proj 7.5+3.5

LARams6 graded · PPR MAE 7.8
QB
Matthew Stafford383 pass yds · 0 rush · 3 TDproj 336.9 / 5.3

33.3proj 22.2+11.1
RB
Kyren Williams49 rush yds · 6 rec, 27 yds · 1 TDproj 84.3 rush / 5.25 rec, 43.3

19.6proj 22.8-3.2
RB
Blake Corum19 rush yds · 3 rec, 53 yds · 1 TDproj 44.7 rush / 1 rec, 5

16.2proj 7.3+8.9
WR
Puka Nacua17 rec · 138 yds · 1 TDproj 7 rec / 99.5 yds

37.7proj 20.4+17.3
WR
Davante Adams5 rec · 51 yds · 2 TDproj 5.5 rec / 97.5 yds

22.1proj 18.1+4.0
WR
Konata Mumpfieldproj 1.5 rec / 28 yds

proj 5.5no stat row
TE
Tyler Higbee5 rec · 83 yds · 0 TDproj 5 rec / 41.8 yds

13.3proj 11.2+2.1

MINMINVikings

23–13final · Caesars Superdome

NONOSaints

MIN @ NOno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

MINVikings7 graded · PPR MAE 5.2
QB
Kyler Murray229 pass yds · 51 rush · 1 TDproj 135.6 / 14

20.3proj 7.8+12.4
RB
Aaron Jones113 rush yds · 3 rec, 4 yds · 1 TDproj 132.3 rush / 2.25 rec, 17

20.7proj 20.2+0.5
RB
Demond Claiborne0 rush yds · 1 rec, 6 yds · 0 TDproj 8.6 rush / 0.32 rec, 1

1.6proj 1.6-0.0
WR
Justin Jefferson6 rec · 79 yds · 1 TDproj 4.14 rec / 56.5 yds

18.8proj 11.6+7.2
WR
Jordan Addisonproj 2.75 rec / 40.8 yds

proj 8.5no stat row
WR
Tai Felton2 rec · 27 yds · 0 TDproj 0.72 rec / 9.8 yds

4.7proj 2.2+2.5
TE
T.J. Hockenson1 rec · 7 yds · 0 TDproj 5.5 rec / 66.5 yds

1.7proj 14.2-12.5
K
Will Reichardkicker

11.0proj 10.0+1.0

NOSaints9 graded · PPR MAE 8.7
QB
Tyler Shough96 pass yds · 0 rush · 0 TDproj 266.4 / 18

-0.2proj 23.4-23.5
RB
Alvin Kamara12 rush yds · 2 rec, -6 yds · 0 TDproj 39.1 rush / 3.66 rec, 18

2.6proj 12.2-9.6
RB
Kendre Miller30 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 1 TDproj 25.8 rush / 1.39 rec, 6.3

9.0proj 6.6+2.4
WR
Chris Olave4 rec · 46 yds · 0 TDproj 8.75 rec / 122.8 yds

8.6proj 24.6-16.0
WR
Devaughn Vele4 rec · 26 yds · 0 TDproj 5.25 rec / 56.5 yds

6.6proj 13.6-7.0
WR
Bryce Lance0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1.25 rec / 14.3 yds

0.0proj 3.7-3.7
TE
Juwan Johnson4 rec · 16 yds · 0 TDproj 5.25 rec / 55.8 yds

5.6proj 13.4-7.8
TE
Noah Fant1 rec · 7 yds · 0 TDproj 1.49 rec / 12.5 yds

1.7proj 4.3-2.6
K
Daniel Carlsonkicker

1.0proj 6.3-5.3

BALBALRavens

30–23final · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

ATLATLFalcons

BAL @ ATLno frozen legsbars: frozen projection (outline) vs actual (filled)

BALRavens7 graded · PPR MAE 5.2
QB
Tyler Huntley201 pass yds · 20 rush · 3 TDproj 159.2 / 22.2

28.0proj 12.8+15.2
RB
Derrick Henry102 rush yds · 1 rec, 18 yds · 1 TDproj 70.2 rush / 1.75 rec, 11

19.0proj 15.4+3.6
RB
Justice Hill73 rush yds · 2 rec, 5 yds · 0 TDproj 11.3 rush / 1.25 rec, 11

9.8proj 4.2+5.6
WR
Zay Flowers8 rec · 53 yds · 0 TDproj 5.65 rec / 101.6 yds

14.6proj 18.1-3.5
WR
Rashod Bateman5 rec · 62 yds · 0 TDproj 2.75 rec / 42.7 yds

11.2proj 8.4+2.8
WR
Chris Mooreproj 1.06 rec / 20.3 yds

proj 4.0no stat row
TE
Mark Andrews4 rec · 28 yds · 0 TDproj 4.5 rec / 35.6 yds

6.8proj 9.9-3.1
TE
Matthew Hibnerproj 1.67 rec / 22.3 yds

proj 4.7no stat row
K
Tyler Loopkicker

10.0proj 7.7+2.3

ATLFalcons8 graded · PPR MAE 4.9
QB
Michael Penix Jr.240 pass yds · 8 rush · 1 TDproj 250.5 / -2

16.4proj 14.4+2.0
RB
Bijan Robinson86 rush yds · 4 rec, 32 yds · 0 TDproj 117 rush / 3.5 rec, 30

15.8proj 23.1-7.3
RB
Brian Robinson16 rush yds · 0 rec, 0 yds · 0 TDproj 46 rush / 0.75 rec, 5.3

1.6proj 8.1-6.5
WR
Drake London7 rec · 118 yds · 0 TDproj 5 rec / 92.5 yds

18.8proj 16.0+2.8
WR
Jahan Dotson2 rec · 54 yds · 0 TDproj 1.5 rec / 23.8 yds

7.4proj 4.8+2.6
WR
Olamide Zaccheaus0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TDproj 1 rec / 4.3 yds

0.0proj 2.1-2.1
TE
Austin Hooperproj 1.67 rec / 10.8 yds

proj 3.7no stat row
TE
Kyle Pitts5 rec · 42 yds · 1 TDproj 1.25 rec / 13.6 yds

15.2proj 3.3+11.9
K
Nick Folkkicker

11.0proj 7.1+3.9

Week 5 · Receipt

Biggest beats actual over projection

Biggest busts projection over actual

Nailed it closest calls, 10+ pt projections

Legs by market frozen pre-kickoff