BetSweep

Week 6 · Matchup Boards

Model projections, matchup colors and the best FanDuel leg per player, from the Fantasy Projection Model 2026. Page built Wed 10/14 6:23 PM CT from the live sheet: projections, per-game defense ranks (season and last 3 weeks), FanDuel lines and the kickoff-hour forecast.

Score strip projected points, then the four game-script odds (team A by 10+, close under 51, shootout, team B by 10+) Game strip away @ home, kickoff (CT), venue and roof, the kickoff-hour forecast (icon = sky, with temp, wind, precip chance and a LOW / MED / HIGH risk tag; wind 15+ mph or rain hurts passing and kicking legs most), then the market spread/total next to the model's; amber when they disagree by more than 3 points. FD note FanDuel's main line for that stat (the rung priced nearest −112) and how far the model sits above or below it Leg market · FanDuel odds · model edge vs the price; ! means the model flags a warning on that leg Stat color = opponent defense rank vs that stat this season: #1 allows the most (green) → #32 allows the least (red); the small L3 number is the same rank over the last 3 weeks. Out this week players the model has removed (IR / ruled out), so you can see where targets and carries are moving.
SlateWeek 6 at a glance
14games on the board
BSBetSweep model

Best clean legs model edge, no warnings

  • Keenan AllenReceptions 4+ -13063.2% vs 56.5%6.6%
  • Michael MayerReceptions 3+ -14864.5% vs 59.7%4.8%
  • Tyler HigbeeReceptions 3+ -16666.2% vs 62.4%3.8%
  • Davis AllenReceptions 1+ -22569.3% vs 69.2%0.1%

Script plays if the likely script happens

  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. rushing yards 19+if JAX by 10+ -11474%+21
  • Keenan Allen anytime TDif IND by 10+ +35042%+20
  • Kenneth Walker III rushing yards 87+ !if KC by 10+ -11474%+20
  • Tetairoa McMillan anytime TD !if CAR by 10+ +18552%+17
  • Kalif Raymond receptions 3+ !if Close, low scoring +10664%+15
  • Tre Tucker receiving yards 36+ !if Shootout -11468%+15

Market vs model biggest spread gaps

  • ARI @ LAmarket LA -12.5, model LA by 4.48.1 pts
  • NYJ @ NEmarket NE -7.5, model NE by 2.35.2 pts
  • CAR @ PHImarket CAR -1.5, model CAR by 6.04.5 pts
  • DAL @ GBmarket GB -1.5, model DAL by 2.74.2 pts

Weather watch kickoff-hour forecast

  • DAL/GBwind 17 mph, gusts 38HIGH
  • PIT/TBwind 21 mph, gusts 30HIGH
ARIARICardinals
22.4–26.8 total 49.2 · LA by 4.4
LALARams
ARI @ LASun 10/18 3:05 PM CTSoFi Stadiumdome, matrixturfDomedome · no weatherNONE riskMarket LA -12.5 · O/U 51.5 | Model LA by 4.4 · 49.2
ARI by 10+15% close, low27% shootout23% LA by 10+35%

How the model sees the game ending: 15% ARI wins by 10+27% close game, under 51 total points 23% shootout (close, 51+ points)35% LA wins by 10+

If LA by 10+ (35%)Kyren Williams rushing yards 70+ -11464%+11Davante Adams receiving yards 58+ -11458%+4Kyren Williams anytime TD -22071%+2Tyler Higbee receptions 3+ -16664%+2
BetSweep slip 3 legs, same-game links pricedKyren Williams anytime TD -22058%Tyler Higbee receptions 3+ -16666%Puka Nacua anytime TD -16553%fair +386 (21%) · if LA by 10+ +252 (28%) · book legs multiply to +274Take it at +412 or better
  • ARIvs LA DPass#32L3 #31QB rush#3L3 #1RB rush#17L3 #18RB rec#3L3 #2WR#32L3 #31TE#32L3 #32
  • QB
    Jacoby Brissett263.3 pass yds#32L3 #31FD 243 +201.66 pass TD#12L3 #813 rush yds#3L3 #10.19 rush TD#3L3 #1!Passing Yards 243+-114+7.7%
    21.09#7 QB
  • RB
    Jeremiyah Love49 rush yds#17L3 #18FD 46 +37.2 rec yds#3L3 #2FD 11 -42.2 rec#7L3 #11FD 2 +00.348 rush TD#24L3 #110.149 rec TD#15L3 #11Receptions 2+-172-2.6%
    10.8#26 RB
  • RB
    Tyler Allgeier25.6 rush yds#17L3 #18FD 21 +57.1 rec yds#3L3 #2FD 9 -22.4 rec#7L3 #11FD 3 -10.216 rush TD#24L3 #110.102 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++340+4.7%
    7.03#40 RB
  • RB
    Bam KnightLimited19.2 rush yds#17L3 #1810 rec yds#3L3 #22.9 rec#7L3 #110.111 rush TD#24L3 #110.043 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    3.84#58 RB
  • WR
    Michael Wilson58.2 rec yds#32L3 #31FD 59 -15.5 rec#32L3 #31FD 6 -00.612 TD#3L3 #5!Anytime TD 1++200+12.3%
    14.95#15 WR
  • WR
    Kendrick Bourne42.3 rec yds#32L3 #31FD 39 +33.7 rec#32L3 #31FD 4 -00.251 TD#3L3 #5!Anytime TD 1++470+4.6%
    9.45#40 WR
  • WR
    Marvin Harrison Jr.33.9 rec yds#32L3 #31FD 26 +82 rec#32L3 #31FD 3 -10.224 TD#3L3 #5!Receiving Yards 26+-114+1.5%
    6.71#61 WR
  • WR
    Reggie VirgilLimited29 rec yds#32L3 #312.8 rec#32L3 #310.17 TD#3L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    5.92#71 WR
  • TE
    Trey McBride66.6 rec yds#32L3 #32FD 65 +28 rec#32L3 #32FD 8 +00.611 TD#21L3 #14Anytime TD 1++150+5.7%
    18.36#1 TE
  • TE
    Elijah Higgins20.9 rec yds#32L3 #32FD 11 +101.9 rec#32L3 #32FD 2 -00.147 TD#21L3 #14!Receiving Yards 11+-114+11.1%
    4.87#36 TE
  • LAvs ARI DPass#9L3 #9QB rush#23L3 #21RB rush#6L3 #6RB rec#25L3 #13WR#15L3 #17TE#6L3 #4
  • Out this weekTerrance Ferguson TE · IR 10/3 (min 4 games, through Week 8)Ronnie Rivers RB · IR 9/23 (min 4 games, through Week 7)
  • QB
    Matthew Stafford287.9 pass yds#9L3 #9FD 282 +61.89 pass TD#1L3 #12.4 rush yds#23L3 #210.1 rush TD#11L3 #4!Passing Yards 282+-114-2.2%
    21.58#4 QB
  • RB
    Kyren WilliamsRole Up75.9 rush yds#6L3 #6FD 70 +627.2 rec yds#25L3 #13FD 23 +45.4 rec#32L3 #21FD 4 +10.533 rush TD#7L3 #60.343 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receptions 4++134+23.7%
    20.97#2 RB
  • RB
    Blake Corum40.5 rush yds#6L3 #6FD 44 -47.8 rec yds#25L3 #13FD 8 -01.4 rec#32L3 #21FD 2 -10.15 rush TD#7L3 #60.115 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receptions 2++124-4.0%
    7.82#35 RB
  • WR
    Puka NacuaRole Up109.7 rec yds#15L3 #17FD 93 +179.1 rec#30L3 #31FD 8 +10.753 TD#1L3 #1!Receptions 8+-130-1.0%
    24.61#1 WR
  • WR
    Davante Adams76.3 rec yds#15L3 #17FD 58 +185.1 rec#30L3 #31FD 5 +00.522 TD#1L3 #1!Receiving Yards 58+-114+4.1%
    15.84#10 WR
  • WR
    Konata MumpfieldRole Up19.9 rec yds#15L3 #171.3 rec#30L3 #310.181 TD#1L3 #1no FanDuel line yet
    4.41#91 WR
  • TE
    Tyler Higbee42.1 rec yds#6L3 #4FD 33 +93.9 rec#9L3 #9FD 3 +10.329 TD#6L3 #4Receptions 3+-166+3.8%
    10.11#9 TE
  • TE
    Colby Parkinson17.6 rec yds#6L3 #4FD 14 +41.9 rec#9L3 #9FD 2 -00.165 TD#6L3 #4!Receptions 2+-108+3.6%
    4.64#39 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
ATLATLFalcons
22.2–24.0 total 46.2 · CHI by 1.8
CHICHIBears
CHI @ ATLSun 10/18 12:00 PM CTMercedes-Benz Stadiumretractable roof, fieldturfClear64°F · wind 12 mph · 0% precip · roof can closeLOW riskMarket CHI -2.5 · O/U 50.5 | Model CHI by 1.8 · 46.2
ATL by 10+20% close, low32% shootout19% CHI by 10+28%

How the model sees the game ending: 20% ATL wins by 10+32% close game, under 51 total points 19% shootout (close, 51+ points)28% CHI wins by 10+

If Close, low scoring (32%)Kalif Raymond receptions 3+ +10664%+15Kalif Raymond receiving yards 23+ -11459%+5Bijan Robinson receiving yards 27+ -11458%+5Kyle Pitts receptions 3+ -14656%-4
  • ATLvs CHI DPass#19L3 #25QB rush#20L3 #24RB rush#23L3 #26RB rec#19L3 #28WR#13L3 #11TE#24L3 #27
  • QB
    Michael Penix Jr.224.1 pass yds#19L3 #25FD 237 -131.07 pass TD#19L3 #225 rush yds#20L3 #240.12 rush TD#3L3 #4!Passing Yards 300++360-2.6%
    15.64#25 QB
  • RB
    Bijan Robinson107.7 rush yds#23L3 #26FD 90 +1840.1 rec yds#19L3 #28FD 27 +133.6 rec#31L3 #28FD 4 -00.652 rush TD#16L3 #110.216 rec TD#8L3 #11!Receiving Yards 27+-114+6.0%
    23.87#1 RB
  • RB
    Brian Robinson36.7 rush yds#23L3 #262.7 rec yds#19L3 #280.6 rec#31L3 #280.259 rush TD#16L3 #110.047 rec TD#8L3 #11Anytime TD 1++240-2.8%
    6.35#47 RB
  • WR
    Drake London92.7 rec yds#13L3 #11FD 90 +35.5 rec#23L3 #21FD 7 -20.375 TD#9L3 #11!Receiving Yards 125++270-5.3%
    17.18#7 WR
  • WR
    Jahan Dotson25.9 rec yds#13L3 #11FD 24 +21.5 rec#23L3 #21FD 2 -00.187 TD#9L3 #11Anytime TD 1++370-4.0%
    5.24#80 WR
  • WR
    Zachariah Branch10.8 rec yds#13L3 #11FD 11 -01.4 rec#23L3 #21FD 2 -10.094 TD#9L3 #11Receptions 2++130+2.6%
    3.29#99 WR
  • TE
    Kyle Pitts36.4 rec yds#24L3 #27FD 29 +73.2 rec#29L3 #30FD 3 +00.221 TD#26L3 #22!Receiving Yards 29+-114+0.6%
    8.16#17 TE
  • TE
    Austin Hooper17.3 rec yds#24L3 #271.6 rec#29L3 #300.152 TD#26L3 #22no FanDuel line yet
    4.28#40 TE
  • CHIvs ATL DPass#6L3 #11QB rush#32L3 #28RB rush#26L3 #19RB rec#22L3 #16WR#6L3 #6TE#12L3 #16
  • QB
    Caleb WilliamsAuto Qb Succession218.3 pass yds#6L3 #11FD 220 -21.35 pass TD#9L3 #825.1 rush yds#32L3 #280.14 rush TD#11L3 #4!Passing Yards 250++174-0.5%
    19.36#13 QB
  • RB
    D'Andre Swift70 rush yds#26L3 #1920.6 rec yds#22L3 #162.8 rec#5L3 #50.603 rush TD#24L3 #110.137 rec TD#3L3 #3!Anytime TD 1+-195-13.8%
    16.23#11 RB
  • RB
    Kyle Monangai69.4 rush yds#26L3 #199.7 rec yds#22L3 #161.3 rec#5L3 #50.573 rush TD#24L3 #110.06 rec TD#3L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    13.18#17 RB
  • RB
    Roschon JohnsonRole Up5.5 rush yds#26L3 #194.6 rec yds#22L3 #161.3 rec#5L3 #50.094 rush TD#24L3 #110.12 rec TD#3L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++360-2.8%
    3.29#62 RB
  • WR
    Luther Burden III49.5 rec yds#6L3 #6FD 50 -04.2 rec#3L3 #2FD 4 +00.43 TD#17L3 #5Anytime TD 1++175-1.4%
    11.71#25 WR
  • WR
    Rome Odunze54.8 rec yds#6L3 #6FD 42 +133.5 rec#3L3 #2FD 3 +00.382 TD#17L3 #5!Receiving Yards 42+-114+1.8%
    11.25#27 WR
  • WR
    Kalif Raymond35.5 rec yds#6L3 #6FD 23 +123.9 rec#3L3 #2FD 3 +10.233 TD#17L3 #5!Receptions 3++106+17.1%
    8.83#45 WR
  • TE
    Colston LovelandRole Up32 rec yds#12L3 #16FD 35 -33 rec#9L3 #15FD 4 -10.307 TD#9L3 #22Anytime TD 1++190-7.8%
    8.03#19 TE
  • TE
    Cole Kmet15.9 rec yds#12L3 #16FD 10 +61.3 rec#9L3 #15FD 2 -10.102 TD#9L3 #22!Receiving Yards 10+-114+3.7%
    3.53#45 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
BALBALRavens
26.8–20.4 total 47.2 · BAL by 6.4
CLECLEBrowns
BAL @ CLESun 10/18 12:00 PM CTHuntington Bank Fieldoutdoors, grassClear60°F · wind 10 mph · 1% precipLOW riskMarket BAL -5.5 · O/U 42.5 | Model BAL by 6.4 · 47.2
BAL by 10+41% close, low28% shootout19% CLE by 10+12%

How the model sees the game ending: 41% BAL wins by 10+28% close game, under 51 total points 19% shootout (close, 51+ points)12% CLE wins by 10+

If BAL by 10+ (41%)Derrick Henry rushing yards 90+ -11462%+9Derrick Henry anytime TD -21072%+4Zay Flowers anytime TD +15541%+2
  • BALvs CLE DPass#13L3 #12QB rush#29L3 #32RB rush#7L3 #9RB rec#27L3 #23WR#10L3 #12TE#12L3 #12
  • Out this weekJa'Kobi Lane WR · IR 9/16 (Week 5 OUT carried forward; no activation news)
  • QB
    Tyler HuntleyAuto Qb Succession165.9 pass yds#13L3 #120.8 pass TD#7L3 #822.1 rush yds#29L3 #320.22 rush TD#22L3 #15no FanDuel line yet
    14.19#27 QB
  • RB
    Derrick Henry94.8 rush yds#7L3 #9FD 90 +510.4 rec yds#27L3 #231.6 rec#22L3 #240.814 rush TD#32L3 #270.075 rec TD#15L3 #11!Rushing Yards 90+-114-6.2%
    17.27#6 RB
  • RB
    Justice Hill21.7 rush yds#7L3 #913.7 rec yds#27L3 #231.4 rec#22L3 #240.064 rush TD#32L3 #270.092 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++500-1.9%
    6.06#48 RB
  • WR
    Zay Flowers88.4 rec yds#10L3 #126 rec#16L3 #170.397 TD#3L3 #11Anytime TD 1++155-6.3%
    17.24#6 WR
  • WR
    Rashod Bateman35.6 rec yds#10L3 #122.7 rec#16L3 #170.209 TD#3L3 #11Anytime TD 1++340-3.8%
    7.52#58 WR
  • WR
    Chris Moore20.4 rec yds#10L3 #121.1 rec#16L3 #170.138 TD#3L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    3.98#95 WR
  • WR
    Elijah SarrattLimited15.6 rec yds#10L3 #121.2 rec#16L3 #170.13 TD#3L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    3.53#98 WR
  • TE
    Mark Andrews30.7 rec yds#12L3 #123.8 rec#9L3 #80.342 TD#9L3 #10Anytime TD 1++220-2.4%
    8.93#13 TE
  • TE
    Matthew Hibner23.3 rec yds#12L3 #121.6 rec#9L3 #80.13 TD#9L3 #10no FanDuel line yet
    4.78#37 TE
  • CLEvs BAL DPass#14L3 #12QB rush#16L3 #14RB rush#21L3 #13RB rec#32L3 #31WR#5L3 #2TE#25L3 #22
  • Out this weekDylan Sampson RB · IR 9/15 (Week 5 OUT carried forward; no activation news)
  • QB
    Deshaun Watson202 pass yds#14L3 #12FD 201 +11.4 pass TD#25L3 #2233.4 rush yds#16L3 #14FD 29 +40.1 rush TD#11L3 #15Passing Yards 201+-114-1.8%
    19.36#14 QB
  • RB
    Quinshon Judkins51.5 rush yds#21L3 #1315.9 rec yds#32L3 #313.6 rec#18L3 #240.371 rush TD#7L3 #110.224 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    13.91#15 RB
  • RB
    Raheim Sanders13.2 rush yds#21L3 #139.6 rec yds#32L3 #312.2 rec#18L3 #240.081 rush TD#7L3 #110.093 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    5.52#50 RB
  • RB
    Jaleel McLaughlin13.7 rush yds#21L3 #130.2 rec yds#32L3 #310.1 rec#18L3 #240.053 rush TD#7L3 #110.028 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    2.01#71 RB
  • WR
    Denzel Boston67.9 rec yds#5L3 #2FD 55 +133.2 rec#6L3 #8FD 4 -10.296 TD#27L3 #25!Receiving Yards 55+-114-2.9%
    11.86#23 WR
  • WR
    KC Concepcion29.4 rec yds#5L3 #23.6 rec#6L3 #80.28 TD#27L3 #25no FanDuel line yet
    8.17#54 WR
  • WR
    Jerry Jeudy26.7 rec yds#5L3 #22.3 rec#6L3 #80.196 TD#27L3 #25Anytime TD 1++300-6.9%
    6.16#70 WR
  • WR
    Isaiah BondRole Up25.6 rec yds#5L3 #21.6 rec#6L3 #80.148 TD#27L3 #25Anytime TD 1++460-3.9%
    4.93#86 WR
  • TE
    Harold Fannin Jr.37.8 rec yds#25L3 #223.9 rec#26L3 #250.329 TD#9L3 #10Anytime TD 1++200-5.2%
    9.69#10 TE
  • TE
    Blake Whiteheart4.7 rec yds#25L3 #220.5 rec#26L3 #250.065 TD#9L3 #10no FanDuel line yet
    1.3#55 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
BUFBUFBills
30.4–27.0 total 57.4 · BUF by 3.3
LVLVRaiders
BUF @ LVSun 10/18 3:25 PM CTAllegiant Stadiumdome, grassDomedome · no weatherNONE riskMarket BUF -5.5 · O/U 53.5 | Model BUF by 3.3 · 57.4
BUF by 10+32% close, low15% shootout35% LV by 10+17%

How the model sees the game ending: 32% BUF wins by 10+15% close game, under 51 total points 35% shootout (close, 51+ points)17% LV wins by 10+

If Shootout (35%)Tre Tucker receiving yards 36+ -11468%+15Josh Allen passing yards 239+ -11467%+14James Cook receiving yards 8+ -11463%+10Ty Johnson receiving yards 16+ -11461%+8
BetSweep slip 2 legs, same-game links pricedJosh Allen anytime TD -17056%Brock Bowers anytime TD -11542%fair +321 (24%) · if Shootout +175 (36%) · book legs multiply to +197Take it at +343 or better
  • BUFvs LV DPass#8L3 #6QB rush#11L3 #11RB rush#4L3 #2RB rec#17L3 #21WR#9L3 #5TE#11L3 #8
  • QB
    Josh Allen235.3 pass yds#8L3 #6FD 239 -41.48 pass TD#5L3 #142.6 rush yds#11L3 #11FD 34 +90.83 rush TD#3L3 #4!Rushing Yards 34+-114+1.5%
    26.19#1 QB
  • RB
    James Cook103.2 rush yds#4L3 #2FD 93 +1012.2 rec yds#17L3 #21FD 8 +41.4 rec#22L3 #19FD 2 -10.599 rush TD#7L3 #60.086 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receiving Yards 8+-114+4.0%
    17.09#7 RB
  • RB
    Ty Johnson5.3 rush yds#4L3 #224.9 rec yds#17L3 #21FD 16 +93.4 rec#22L3 #19FD 3 +00.067 rush TD#7L3 #60.131 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++480+0.9%
    6.85#42 RB
  • RB
    Ray Davis6.7 rush yds#4L3 #26.5 rec yds#17L3 #210.5 rec#22L3 #190.045 rush TD#7L3 #60.029 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    2.38#69 RB
  • WR
    Khalil Shakir48.9 rec yds#9L3 #53.9 rec#25L3 #140.272 TD#9L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++230-6.6%
    10.38#35 WR
  • WR
    DJ Moore42.6 rec yds#9L3 #5FD 50 -73 rec#25L3 #14FD 4 -10.258 TD#9L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++195-11.0%
    8.79#46 WR
  • WR
    Keon Coleman40.6 rec yds#9L3 #53 rec#25L3 #140.232 TD#9L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++290-5.1%
    8.5#49 WR
  • WR
    Josh Palmer26.3 rec yds#9L3 #51.5 rec#25L3 #140.15 TD#9L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++290-11.7%
    5#84 WR
  • TE
    Dalton KincaidRole Down27.7 rec yds#11L3 #8FD 47 -191.7 rec#7L3 #4FD 5 -30.168 TD#3L3 #1Anytime TD 1++175-20.7%
    5.5#33 TE
  • TE
    Dawson Knox15.6 rec yds#11L3 #81.7 rec#7L3 #40.163 TD#3L3 #1Anytime TD 1++500-1.9%
    4.26#41 TE
  • LVvs BUF DPass#2L3 #3QB rush#13L3 #8RB rush#19L3 #14RB rec#4L3 #8WR#4L3 #8TE#10L3 #13
  • Out this weekJack Bech WR · IR 9/29 (min 4 games, through Week 8)
  • QB
    Kirk Cousins207.4 pass yds#2L3 #3FD 242 -351.85 pass TD#4L3 #40.1 rush yds#13L3 #8FD 3 -30.1 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 242+-114-19.8%
    18.49#18 QB
  • RB
    Ashton Jeanty58 rush yds#19L3 #1430.6 rec yds#4L3 #84.4 rec#3L3 #50.426 rush TD#4L3 #60.262 rec TD#2L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    16.92#8 RB
  • RB
    Mike Washington Jr.25 rush yds#19L3 #140.8 rec yds#4L3 #80.4 rec#3L3 #50.124 rush TD#4L3 #60.037 rec TD#2L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    3.95#57 RB
  • RB
    Dylan Laube1.4 rush yds#19L3 #142 rec yds#4L3 #80.6 rec#3L3 #50.055 rush TD#4L3 #60.029 rec TD#2L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    1.31#73 RB
  • WR
    Tre Tucker50.9 rec yds#4L3 #8FD 36 +153.7 rec#1L3 #1FD 4 -00.286 TD#2L3 #1!Receiving Yards 36+-114+5.7%
    10.57#33 WR
  • WR
    Jalen Nailor21.7 rec yds#4L3 #81.8 rec#1L3 #10.188 TD#2L3 #1Anytime TD 1++440-1.2%
    4.98#85 WR
  • WR
    Cody WhiteRole Up19.5 rec yds#4L3 #81.1 rec#1L3 #10.176 TD#2L3 #1no FanDuel line yet
    4.22#93 WR
  • TE
    Brock Bowers77 rec yds#10L3 #13FD 78 -16.7 rec#14L3 #21FD 7 -00.541 TD#21L3 #22!Receptions 7+-122-8.9%
    17.61#2 TE
  • TE
    Michael Mayer30.2 rec yds#10L3 #13FD 28 +23.6 rec#14L3 #21FD 3 +10.249 TD#21L3 #22Receptions 3+-148+4.8%
    8.15#18 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
CARCARPanthers
27.5–21.5 total 49.0 · CAR by 6.0
PHIPHIEagles
CAR @ PHISun 10/18 12:00 PM CTLincoln Financial Fieldoutdoors, grassClear60°F · wind 6 mph · 1% precipLOW riskMarket CAR -1.5 · O/U 40.5 | Model CAR by 6.0 · 49.0
CAR by 10+40% close, low26% shootout22% PHI by 10+13%

How the model sees the game ending: 40% CAR wins by 10+26% close game, under 51 total points 22% shootout (close, 51+ points)13% PHI wins by 10+

If CAR by 10+ (40%)Tetairoa McMillan anytime TD +18552%+17Chuba Hubbard rushing yards 70+ -11460%+6Chuba Hubbard anytime TD -11057%+5
  • CARvs PHI DPass#10L3 #2QB rush#17L3 #17RB rush#11L3 #11RB rec#21L3 #11WR#8L3 #4TE#18L3 #11
  • Out this weekJonathon Brooks RB · IR 9/23 (min 4 games, through Week 7)Xavier Legette WR · IR 10/3 (min 4 games, through Week 8)
  • QB
    Bryce Young220.4 pass yds#10L3 #2FD 238 -181.78 pass TD#19L3 #189.1 rush yds#17L3 #17FD 11 -20.21 rush TD#1L3 #4Anytime TD 1++500+2.3%
    20.29#10 QB
  • RB
    Chuba HubbardRole Up70.9 rush yds#11L3 #11FD 70 +117.9 rec yds#21L3 #11FD 18 -02.6 rec#15L3 #5FD 3 -00.438 rush TD#16L3 #110.162 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1+-110-7.3%
    15.06#13 RB
  • RB
    AJ Dillon11.4 rush yds#11L3 #112.8 rec yds#21L3 #110.6 rec#15L3 #50.085 rush TD#16L3 #110.026 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    2.68#67 RB
  • WR
    Tetairoa McMillan82.7 rec yds#8L3 #4FD 71 +125.7 rec#9L3 #6FD 6 -00.554 TD#6L3 #5!Anytime TD 1++185+7.2%
    17.45#5 WR
  • WR
    Jalen Coker55.9 rec yds#8L3 #4FD 56 -04.5 rec#9L3 #6FD 5 -00.389 TD#6L3 #5!Anytime TD 1++310+7.9%
    12.62#20 WR
  • WR
    John Metchie IIIRole Up23.5 rec yds#8L3 #42.1 rec#9L3 #60.187 TD#6L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    5.67#73 WR
  • WR
    Brycen TremayneRole Up23.5 rec yds#8L3 #41.3 rec#9L3 #60.12 TD#6L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    4.54#89 WR
  • TE
    Darren WallerRole Up34.9 rec yds#18L3 #11FD 30 +53 rec#18L3 #10FD 4 -10.285 TD#26L3 #22Anytime TD 1++330+1.2%
    8.26#16 TE
  • TE
    Tommy Tremble19.1 rec yds#18L3 #112.3 rec#18L3 #100.174 TD#26L3 #22no FanDuel line yet
    5.37#34 TE
  • PHIvs CAR DPass#12L3 #8QB rush#2L3 #9RB rush#2L3 #30RB rec#8L3 #4WR#16L3 #14TE#14L3 #9
  • Out this weekTank Bigsby RB · IR 10/6 (min 4 games, through Week 9)
  • QB
    Jalen Hurts197.1 pass yds#12L3 #8FD 205 -81.53 pass TD#18L3 #1723.6 rush yds#2L3 #90.19 rush TD#2L3 #15!Passing Yards 205+-114-3.8%
    19.32#15 QB
  • RB
    Saquon Barkley61.6 rush yds#2L3 #3011.3 rec yds#8L3 #41 rec#12L3 #40.289 rush TD#3L3 #250.087 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    10.57#27 RB
  • RB
    Dameon PierceLimited28.8 rush yds#2L3 #307.1 rec yds#8L3 #41.4 rec#12L3 #40.23 rush TD#3L3 #250.06 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    6.72#43 RB
  • RB
    Will Shipley9.8 rush yds#2L3 #305.3 rec yds#8L3 #41.1 rec#12L3 #40.231 rush TD#3L3 #250.062 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    4.32#54 RB
  • WR
    DeVonta SmithRole Up69 rec yds#16L3 #145.5 rec#11L3 #170.408 TD#31L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    14.97#14 WR
  • WR
    Dontayvion Wicks43.1 rec yds#16L3 #143.1 rec#11L3 #170.297 TD#31L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    9.25#42 WR
  • WR
    Makai LemonRole Up21.8 rec yds#16L3 #143 rec#11L3 #170.229 TD#31L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    6.58#65 WR
  • WR
    Darius CooperRole Up24.8 rec yds#16L3 #141.4 rec#11L3 #170.194 TD#31L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    5.25#79 WR
  • TE
    Dallas Goedert39.6 rec yds#14L3 #93.9 rec#16L3 #40.276 TD#4L3 #3Anytime TD 1++250-4.2%
    9.46#11 TE
  • TE
    Zach Ertz25.4 rec yds#14L3 #92.6 rec#16L3 #40.178 TD#4L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    6.04#30 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
DALDALCowboys
25.8–23.0 total 48.8 · DAL by 2.7
GBGBPackers
DAL @ GBSun 10/18 7:20 PM CTLambeau Fieldoutdoors, grassWindy55°F · wind 17 mph (gusts 38) · 0% precipHIGH riskMarket GB -1.5 · O/U 53.5 | Model DAL by 2.7 · 48.8
DAL by 10+31% close, low28% shootout23% GB by 10+18%

How the model sees the game ending: 31% DAL wins by 10+28% close game, under 51 total points 23% shootout (close, 51+ points)18% GB wins by 10+

If DAL by 10+ (31%)George Pickens anytime TD +15046%+6CeeDee Lamb anytime TD +11550%+4Javonte Williams anytime TD -21066%-1
BetSweep slip 2 legs, same-game links pricedCeeDee Lamb anytime TD +11541%Javonte Williams anytime TD -21054%fair +349 (22%) · if DAL by 10+ +200 (33%) · book legs multiply to +218Take it at +373 or better
  • DALvs GB DPass#28L3 #27QB rush#12L3 #7RB rush#10L3 #4RB rec#11L3 #14WR#22L3 #21TE#29L3 #30
  • QB
    Dak Prescott270.2 pass yds#28L3 #27FD 279 -91.72 pass TD#19L3 #2912 rush yds#12L3 #7FD 10 +20.1 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 279+-114-3.8%
    21.53#5 QB
  • RB
    Javonte Williams60.9 rush yds#10L3 #4FD 71 -1013.2 rec yds#11L3 #14FD 15 -23.4 rec#20L3 #16FD 3 +00.607 rush TD#2L3 #20.167 rec TD#8L3 #3!Receptions 3+-160-7.4%
    15.2#12 RB
  • RB
    Emari DemercadoLimited16.8 rush yds#10L3 #46.3 rec yds#11L3 #141.8 rec#20L3 #160.088 rush TD#2L3 #20.031 rec TD#8L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    3.02#66 RB
  • RB
    Tyler GoodsonLimited9.7 rush yds#10L3 #40 rec yds#11L3 #140 rec#20L3 #160.075 rush TD#2L3 #20.035 rec TD#8L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    1.92#72 RB
  • WR
    CeeDee LambRole Up94.4 rec yds#22L3 #21FD 81 +137.2 rec#10L3 #11FD 7 +00.528 TD#24L3 #30!Receptions 7++106+1.5%
    19.83#4 WR
  • WR
    George Pickens75.9 rec yds#22L3 #21FD 68 +85.4 rec#10L3 #11FD 6 -10.476 TD#24L3 #30!Receptions 6++128-1.5%
    15.86#9 WR
  • WR
    Ryan Flournoy36.1 rec yds#22L3 #21FD 32 +43 rec#10L3 #11FD 3 +00.296 TD#24L3 #30Anytime TD 1++420+6.7%
    8.43#52 WR
  • WR
    Jonathan Mingo9.2 rec yds#22L3 #210.8 rec#10L3 #110.109 TD#24L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    2.37#103 WR
  • TE
    Jake Ferguson27 rec yds#29L3 #30FD 25 +23.7 rec#28L3 #28FD 4 -00.259 TD#15L3 #14!Receptions 4++106-2.5%
    7.94#20 TE
  • TE
    Brevyn Spann-Ford6.2 rec yds#29L3 #300.6 rec#28L3 #280.071 TD#15L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    1.63#53 TE
  • GBvs DAL DPass#17L3 #17QB rush#1L3 #4RB rush#3L3 #4RB rec#26L3 #28WR#12L3 #7TE#19L3 #18
  • Out this weekJayden Reed WR · neck - IR 9/30, no return timeline
  • QB
    Jordan Love241.9 pass yds#17L3 #17FD 270 -281.7 pass TD#7L3 #85.7 rush yds#1L3 #4FD 6 -00.1 rush TD#22L3 #15!Rushing Yards 6+-114-9.3%
    19.67#12 QB
  • RB
    MarShawn Lloyd22.4 rush yds#3L3 #4FD 41 -1911.3 rec yds#26L3 #28FD 11 +02.1 rec#28L3 #31FD 2 +00.346 rush TD#4L3 #30.155 rec TD#3L3 #3!Receptions 2+-198-8.2%
    8.43#31 RB
  • RB
    Pierre StrongLimited7 rush yds#3L3 #411.3 rec yds#26L3 #281.8 rec#28L3 #310.23 rush TD#4L3 #30.06 rec TD#3L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    6.62#44 RB
  • RB
    Kaleb Johnson17.1 rush yds#3L3 #41.6 rec yds#26L3 #280.2 rec#28L3 #310.135 rush TD#4L3 #30.03 rec TD#3L3 #3!Anytime TD 1++440-3.7%
    3.04#65 RB
  • WR
    Christian Watson84 rec yds#12L3 #7FD 73 +114.7 rec#13L3 #14FD 5 -00.412 TD#9L3 #11!Receiving Yards 73+-114-4.5%
    15.69#11 WR
  • WR
    Matthew Golden60.4 rec yds#12L3 #7FD 65 -54 rec#13L3 #14FD 5 -10.421 TD#9L3 #11Anytime TD 1++150-5.7%
    12.66#19 WR
  • WR
    Skyy Moore7.7 rec yds#12L3 #71.1 rec#13L3 #140.18 TD#9L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    3.18#100 WR
  • TE
    Tucker Kraft51.3 rec yds#19L3 #18FD 48 +34 rec#17L3 #18FD 5 -10.405 TD#9L3 #14Anytime TD 1++190-0.9%
    11.61#7 TE
  • TE
    Jonnu Smith20.1 rec yds#19L3 #182 rec#17L3 #180.155 TD#9L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    4.94#35 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
DENDENBroncos
20.0–25.2 total 45.1 · SEA by 5.2
SEASEASeahawks
SEA @ DENThu 10/15 7:15 PM CTEmpower Field at Mile Highoutdoors, grassClear night45°F · wind 4 mph · 0% precipLOW riskMarket SEA -2.5 · O/U 40.5 | Model SEA by 5.2 · 45.1
DEN by 10+14% close, low32% shootout17% SEA by 10+38%

How the model sees the game ending: 14% DEN wins by 10+32% close game, under 51 total points 17% shootout (close, 51+ points)38% SEA wins by 10+

If SEA by 10+ (38%)Emanuel Wilson anytime TD +11056%+8George Holani rushing yards 14+ -11462%+8Sam Darnold passing yards 221+ -11460%+7Jaxon Smith-Njigba receiving yards 70+ -27580%+7
BetSweep slip 3 legs, same-game links pricedEmanuel Wilson anytime TD +11044%Cooper Kupp receiving yards 21+ -11457%Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime TD +10542%fair +834 (11%) · if SEA by 10+ +507 (16%) · book legs multiply to +708Take it at +883 or better
  • DENvs SEA DPass#31L3 #28QB rush#8L3 #12RB rush#25L3 #16RB rec#16L3 #22WR#30L3 #20TE#31L3 #31
  • Out this weekJonah Coleman RB · IR 9/26 (min 4 games, through Week 7)
  • QB
    Bo Nix218.6 pass yds#31L3 #28FD 198 +211.31 pass TD#12L3 #613.2 rush yds#8L3 #12FD 16 -30.19 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 250++310+11.7%
    17.78#21 QB
  • RB
    RJ Harvey21.9 rush yds#25L3 #16FD 15 +725.8 rec yds#16L3 #22FD 21 +55 rec#5L3 #14FD 4 +10.116 rush TD#24L3 #110.269 rec TD#3L3 #1Anytime TD 1++280+6.0%
    12.08#21 RB
  • RB
    J.K. Dobbins62.9 rush yds#25L3 #16FD 48 +154 rec yds#16L3 #221 rec#5L3 #140.469 rush TD#24L3 #110.065 rec TD#3L3 #1Anytime TD 1++175+4.8%
    10.89#25 RB
  • RB
    Tyler Badie3.3 rush yds#25L3 #1612 rec yds#16L3 #221.5 rec#5L3 #140.038 rush TD#24L3 #110.083 rec TD#3L3 #1no FanDuel line yet
    3.76#59 RB
  • WR
    Jaylen Waddle48.7 rec yds#30L3 #20FD 50 -13.7 rec#29L3 #22FD 5 -10.303 TD#17L3 #5Anytime TD 1++240-3.5%
    10.55#34 WR
  • WR
    Courtland Sutton36 rec yds#30L3 #20FD 32 +42.8 rec#29L3 #22FD 4 -10.344 TD#17L3 #5Anytime TD 1++240-0.6%
    8.53#48 WR
  • WR
    Pat Bryant31.5 rec yds#30L3 #202.3 rec#29L3 #220.173 TD#17L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    6.48#66 WR
  • WR
    Troy Franklin27 rec yds#30L3 #20FD 17 +101.9 rec#29L3 #22FD 2 -00.153 TD#17L3 #5!Receiving Yards 17+-114+7.7%
    5.56#75 WR
  • TE
    Evan Engram26.2 rec yds#31L3 #31FD 23 +32.4 rec#19L3 #26FD 3 -10.195 TD#15L3 #22!Receiving Yards 23+-114-5.2%
    6.21#28 TE
  • TE
    Adam TrautmanLimited11.7 rec yds#31L3 #311.3 rec#19L3 #260.103 TD#15L3 #22no FanDuel line yet
    3.11#48 TE
  • SEAvs DEN DPass#24L3 #15QB rush#6L3 #3RB rush#5L3 #15RB rec#12L3 #9WR#28L3 #23TE#8L3 #10
  • Out this weekJadarian Price RB · chest - IR 10/3, will miss next 4 games (through Week 8)
  • QB
    Sam Darnold240 pass yds#24L3 #15FD 221 +191.65 pass TD#15L3 #85.5 rush yds#6L3 #3FD 5 +00.11 rush TD#11L3 #15!Passing Yards 250++172+11.8%
    19.21#16 QB
  • RB
    Emanuel WilsonRole Up56.7 rush yds#5L3 #15FD 67 -109.4 rec yds#12L3 #9FD 10 -11.2 rec#9L3 #5FD 2 -10.51 rush TD#7L3 #110.07 rec TD#8L3 #11Anytime TD 1++110-3.6%
    11.31#23 RB
  • RB
    George HolaniRole Up15.5 rush yds#5L3 #15FD 14 +29.1 rec yds#12L3 #9FD 9 +02.6 rec#9L3 #5FD 2 +10.142 rush TD#7L3 #110.104 rec TD#8L3 #11Anytime TD 1++380+1.3%
    6.53#45 RB
  • WR
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba113 rec yds#28L3 #23FD 92 +217.3 rec#31L3 #28FD 7 +00.536 TD#24L3 #18!Receiving Yards 125++270+7.8%
    21.84#2 WR
  • WR
    Cooper Kupp30.4 rec yds#28L3 #23FD 21 +92.4 rec#31L3 #28FD 3 -10.197 TD#24L3 #18Receiving Yards 21+-114+3.8%
    6.67#63 WR
  • WR
    Rashid Shaheed26.6 rec yds#28L3 #23FD 23 +42.2 rec#31L3 #28FD 3 -10.212 TD#24L3 #18Anytime TD 1++400-1.1%
    6.18#69 WR
  • WR
    Tory HortonLimited21.7 rec yds#28L3 #23FD 6 +161.7 rec#31L3 #28FD 1 +10.149 TD#24L3 #18!Receiving Yards 6+-114+20.6%
    4.75#87 WR
  • TE
    AJ Barner27.4 rec yds#8L3 #10FD 24 +32.6 rec#15L3 #10FD 3 -00.313 TD#9L3 #5Anytime TD 1++380+5.8%
    7.3#21 TE
  • TE
    Elijah ArroyoLimited12.4 rec yds#8L3 #101 rec#15L3 #100.084 TD#9L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    2.67#52 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
HOUHOUTexans
19.2–23.8 total 43.0 · JAX by 4.6
JAXJAXJaguars
HOU @ JAXSun 10/18 8:30 AM CTWembley Stadiumoutdoors, grassRain likely55°F · wind 10 mph (gusts 21) · 22% precipLOW riskMarket JAX -2.5 · O/U 42.5 | Model JAX by 4.6 · 43.0
HOU by 10+15% close, low35% shootout14% JAX by 10+36%

How the model sees the game ending: 15% HOU wins by 10+35% close game, under 51 total points 14% shootout (close, 51+ points)36% JAX wins by 10+

If JAX by 10+ (36%)Chris Rodriguez Jr. rushing yards 19+ -11474%+21Dalton Schultz receptions 4+ -10061%+11Brian Thomas Jr. receiving yards 18+ -11460%+7Bhayshul Tuten anytime TD +12051%+5
BetSweep slip 3 legs, same-game links pricedChris Rodriguez Jr. rushing yards 19+ -11460%Brian Thomas Jr. receptions 2+ -12259%Trevor Lawrence passing yards 150+ -90087%fair +216 (32%) · if JAX by 10+ +155 (39%) · book legs multiply to +279Take it at +233 or better
  • HOUvs JAX DPass#3L3 #4QB rush#19L3 #25RB rush#32L3 #32RB rec#7L3 #12WR#1L3 #1TE#28L3 #29
  • QB
    C.J. Stroud235.8 pass yds#3L3 #4FD 257 -211.28 pass TD#31L3 #2914.5 rush yds#19L3 #25FD 10 +40.19 rush TD#11L3 #4Rushing Yards 10+-114+3.6%
    18.9#17 QB
  • RB
    Woody Marks33.8 rush yds#32L3 #32FD 48 -1412 rec yds#7L3 #12FD 14 -22.2 rec#2L3 #2FD 3 -10.334 rush TD#24L3 #270.11 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++110-12.0%
    9.33#29 RB
  • RB
    David MontgomeryRole Down31.8 rush yds#32L3 #3212.2 rec yds#7L3 #121.4 rec#2L3 #20.27 rush TD#24L3 #270.053 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    7.74#36 RB
  • WR
    Nico Collins78.7 rec yds#1L3 #1FD 72 +75.6 rec#7L3 #2FD 6 -00.416 TD#27L3 #25!Receiving Yards 100++250-1.4%
    16.06#8 WR
  • WR
    Xavier Hutchinson38.9 rec yds#1L3 #12.9 rec#7L3 #20.255 TD#27L3 #25no FanDuel line yet
    8.33#53 WR
  • WR
    Kayshon Boutte36 rec yds#1L3 #1FD 31 +52.4 rec#7L3 #2FD 3 -10.179 TD#27L3 #25!Receiving Yards 31+-114-3.6%
    7.21#60 WR
  • WR
    Jared Wayne16.3 rec yds#1L3 #11 rec#7L3 #20.16 TD#27L3 #25no FanDuel line yet
    3.59#97 WR
  • TE
    Dalton SchultzRole Down25.3 rec yds#28L3 #29FD 31 -62.6 rec#29L3 #27FD 4 -10.246 TD#15L3 #14!Receptions 4+-100+11.4%
    6.58#26 TE
  • TE
    Foster Moreau11 rec yds#28L3 #291.5 rec#29L3 #270.151 TD#15L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    3.51#46 TE
  • JAXvs HOU DPass#7L3 #14QB rush#29L3 #30RB rush#29L3 #24RB rec#30L3 #26WR#3L3 #3TE#21L3 #28
  • QB
    Trevor Lawrence235.4 pass yds#7L3 #14FD 225 +101.74 pass TD#19L3 #2915.9 rush yds#29L3 #30FD 13 +30.1 rush TD#3L3 #15!Passing Yards 250++162+7.6%
    20.85#8 QB
  • RB
    Bhayshul TutenRole Up55.7 rush yds#29L3 #24FD 64 -810 rec yds#30L3 #26FD 8 +21.8 rec#9L3 #3FD 2 -00.408 rush TD#16L3 #60.091 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receiving Yards 8+-120-5.7%
    11#24 RB
  • RB
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.28 rush yds#29L3 #24FD 19 +91.9 rec yds#30L3 #260.2 rec#9L3 #30.232 rush TD#16L3 #60.012 rec TD#15L3 #11Rushing Yards 19+-114+6.6%
    4.7#52 RB
  • RB
    Ameer Abdullah7.7 rush yds#29L3 #244.3 rec yds#30L3 #260.4 rec#9L3 #30.042 rush TD#16L3 #60.032 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    2.22#70 RB
  • WR
    Parker Washington63.9 rec yds#3L3 #3FD 62 +24.2 rec#3L3 #2FD 5 -10.352 TD#6L3 #18!Receiving Yards 110++490-4.4%
    12.68#18 WR
  • WR
    Jakobi Meyers44.9 rec yds#3L3 #3FD 35 +103.5 rec#3L3 #2FD 4 -00.289 TD#6L3 #18Anytime TD 1++330+1.9%
    9.71#37 WR
  • WR
    Brian Thomas Jr.Role Down29.4 rec yds#3L3 #3FD 18 +112.1 rec#3L3 #2FD 2 +00.222 TD#6L3 #18Receptions 2+-122+3.8%
    6.35#68 WR
  • WR
    Josh CameronRole Up23.4 rec yds#3L3 #3FD 16 +71.6 rec#3L3 #2FD 2 -00.184 TD#6L3 #18Receiving Yards 16+-114+1.4%
    5.04#83 WR
  • TE
    Brenton StrangeRole Up46.1 rec yds#21L3 #28FD 38 +84.1 rec#24L3 #21FD 4 +00.291 TD#26L3 #22Anytime TD 1++340+2.4%
    10.42#8 TE
  • TE
    Nate Boerkircher11 rec yds#21L3 #28FD 6 +51 rec#24L3 #21FD 1 +00.105 TD#26L3 #22Receiving Yards 6+-114+2.6%
    2.73#51 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
INDINDColts
23.8–17.2 total 41.0 · IND by 6.6
TENTENTitans
TEN @ INDSun 10/18 12:00 PM CTLucas Oil Stadiumretractable roof, fieldturfClear62°F · wind 7 mph · 1% precip · roof can closeLOW riskMarket IND -7 · O/U 44.5 | Model IND by 6.6 · 41.0
IND by 10+41% close, low36% shootout11% TEN by 10+12%

How the model sees the game ending: 41% IND wins by 10+36% close game, under 51 total points 11% shootout (close, 51+ points)12% TEN wins by 10+

If IND by 10+ (41%)Keenan Allen anytime TD +35042%+20Elic Ayomanor receiving yards 16+ -11462%+8Keenan Allen receptions 4+ -13061%+5Tyler Warren anytime TD +14543%+2
BetSweep slip 2 legs, same-game links pricedKeenan Allen receptions 4+ -13063%Wan'Dale Robinson receptions 4+ -18062%fair +153 (40%) · if IND by 10+ +161 (38%) · book legs multiply to +175Take it at +166 or better
  • INDvs TEN DPass#19L3 #23QB rush#18L3 #13RB rush#15L3 #16RB rec#23L3 #19WR#7L3 #15TE#30L3 #23
  • Out this weekAlec Pierce WR · heel - IR 9/26 (min 4 games, through Week 7)
  • QB
    Daniel Jones238.9 pass yds#19L3 #23FD 237 +21.07 pass TD#25L3 #228.7 rush yds#18L3 #13FD 7 +20.19 rush TD#11L3 #4Anytime TD 1++450-0.9%
    16.45#23 QB
  • RB
    Jonathan Taylor83.5 rush yds#15L3 #16FD 90 -622.3 rec yds#23L3 #19FD 18 +42.7 rec#27L3 #21FD 3 -00.563 rush TD#16L3 #270.178 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receiving Yards 18+-114-4.9%
    17.55#5 RB
  • RB
    Seth McGowan12.2 rush yds#15L3 #16FD 14 -22.2 rec yds#23L3 #190.7 rec#27L3 #210.169 rush TD#16L3 #270.038 rec TD#15L3 #11Rushing Yards 14+-114-13.0%
    3.35#61 RB
  • WR
    Keenan Allen41.6 rec yds#7L3 #15FD 40 +24.6 rec#8L3 #10FD 4 +10.411 TD#17L3 #18Anytime TD 1++350+11.4%
    11.37#26 WR
  • WR
    Josh Downs46 rec yds#7L3 #15FD 49 -33.9 rec#8L3 #10FD 5 -10.33 TD#17L3 #18!Receptions 5++130-6.2%
    10.62#32 WR
  • WR
    Laquon TreadwellRole Up21.3 rec yds#7L3 #151.6 rec#8L3 #100.205 TD#17L3 #18Anytime TD 1++490+1.2%
    5.06#82 WR
  • WR
    Ashton DulinLimited15.8 rec yds#7L3 #151.2 rec#8L3 #100.134 TD#17L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    3.66#96 WR
  • TE
    Tyler Warren45.6 rec yds#30L3 #23FD 55 -95.4 rec#21L3 #21FD 6 -10.414 TD#21L3 #14Anytime TD 1++145-7.2%
    12.54#3 TE
  • TE
    Mo Alie-CoxLimited12.7 rec yds#30L3 #231.3 rec#21L3 #210.098 TD#21L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    3.24#47 TE
  • TENvs IND DPass#4L3 #26QB rush#7L3 #10RB rush#13L3 #27RB rec#1L3 #3WR#14L3 #25TE#15L3 #25
  • QB
    Cam Ward190.2 pass yds#4L3 #26FD 201 -110.88 pass TD#9L3 #810.7 rush yds#7L3 #10FD 12 -10.28 rush TD#11L3 #15Anytime TD 1++440+5.9%
    14.38#26 QB
  • RB
    Tony Pollard57.2 rush yds#13L3 #27FD 53 +48.8 rec yds#1L3 #3FD 9 -01.6 rec#15L3 #19FD 2 -00.578 rush TD#4L3 #110.108 rec TD#8L3 #3Anytime TD 1++170+12.8%
    12.32#18 RB
  • RB
    Tyjae Spears15.5 rush yds#13L3 #27FD 13 +217.3 rec yds#1L3 #3FD 15 +22.8 rec#15L3 #19FD 3 -00.085 rush TD#4L3 #110.141 rec TD#8L3 #3Anytime TD 1++450+2.4%
    7.65#37 RB
  • RB
    Nicholas SingletonLimited6 rush yds#13L3 #270 rec yds#1L3 #30 rec#15L3 #190.103 rush TD#4L3 #110 rec TD#8L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    1.22#74 RB
  • WR
    Carnell Tate55.3 rec yds#14L3 #25FD 52 +34.6 rec#18L3 #24FD 5 -00.365 TD#17L3 #25Anytime TD 1++300+5.9%
    12.36#21 WR
  • WR
    Wan'Dale Robinson45.5 rec yds#14L3 #25FD 37 +84.8 rec#18L3 #24FD 4 +10.401 TD#17L3 #25Anytime TD 1++410+13.4%
    11.72#24 WR
  • WR
    Elic Ayomanor29.3 rec yds#14L3 #25FD 16 +131.6 rec#18L3 #24FD 2 -00.182 TD#17L3 #25!Receiving Yards 16+-114+9.0%
    5.66#74 WR
  • WR
    Calvin Ridley30.1 rec yds#14L3 #25FD 14 +161.6 rec#18L3 #24FD 2 -00.13 TD#17L3 #25!Receiving Yards 14+-114+16.6%
    5.43#77 WR
  • TE
    Gunnar Helm16.6 rec yds#15L3 #25FD 18 -12.2 rec#13L3 #21FD 3 -10.146 TD#6L3 #5!Receptions 3++112-9.9%
    4.69#38 TE
  • TE
    Daniel Bellinger13.1 rec yds#15L3 #251.2 rec#13L3 #210.095 TD#6L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    3.05#49 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
KCKCChiefs
28.2–17.7 total 45.9 · KC by 10.6
LACLACChargers
LAC @ KCSun 10/18 3:25 PM CTGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadiumoutdoors, grassClear65°F · wind 14 mph (gusts 21) · 0% precipLOW riskMarket KC -8.5 · O/U 42.5 | Model KC by 10.6 · 45.9
KC by 10+53% close, low25% shootout15% LAC by 10+7%

How the model sees the game ending: 53% KC wins by 10+25% close game, under 51 total points 15% shootout (close, 51+ points)7% LAC wins by 10+

If KC by 10+ (53%)Kenneth Walker III rushing yards 87+ -11474%+20Patrick Mahomes passing yards 229+ -11464%+10Kenneth Walker III anytime TD -17071%+8
  • KCvs LAC DPass#27L3 #30QB rush#25L3 #19RB rush#14L3 #7RB rec#24L3 #17WR#22L3 #30TE#20L3 #24
  • QB
    Patrick Mahomes257 pass yds#27L3 #30FD 229 +281.79 pass TD#15L3 #2220.2 rush yds#25L3 #190.21 rush TD#3L3 #1!Passing Yards 229+-114+8.4%
    23.1#3 QB
  • RB
    Kenneth Walker III109.6 rush yds#14L3 #7FD 87 +2318.4 rec yds#24L3 #173 rec#22L3 #210.653 rush TD#7L3 #60.23 rec TD#8L3 #3!Rushing Yards 87+-114+5.2%
    20.39#3 RB
  • RB
    Emmett Johnson14 rush yds#14L3 #718.5 rec yds#24L3 #171.3 rec#22L3 #210.067 rush TD#7L3 #60.046 rec TD#8L3 #3Anytime TD 1++440-8.1%
    5.18#51 RB
  • WR
    Rashee Rice65.6 rec yds#22L3 #305.1 rec#23L3 #290.382 TD#9L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    13.93#16 WR
  • WR
    Xavier Worthy35.3 rec yds#22L3 #303.3 rec#23L3 #290.314 TD#9L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    8.75#47 WR
  • WR
    Tyquan ThorntonRole Up46.9 rec yds#22L3 #302.4 rec#23L3 #290.233 TD#9L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    8.45#51 WR
  • TE
    Travis KelceRole Down31.3 rec yds#20L3 #242.4 rec#26L3 #300.279 TD#21L3 #22Anytime TD 1++180-11.3%
    7.16#23 TE
  • TE
    Noah GrayRole Up14 rec yds#20L3 #241.5 rec#26L3 #300.137 TD#21L3 #22no FanDuel line yet
    3.72#43 TE
  • LACvs KC DPass#18L3 #5QB rush#15L3 #5RB rush#30L3 #29RB rec#9L3 #6WR#31L3 #27TE#3L3 #1
  • Out this weekDavid Njoku TE · knee - IR 9/23 (min 4 games, through Week 7)
  • QB
    Justin Herbert219.5 pass yds#18L3 #5FD 193 +261.23 pass TD#25L3 #2229.6 rush yds#15L3 #50.1 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 193+-114+9.5%
    17.86#20 QB
  • RB
    Omarion Hampton56 rush yds#30L3 #2915.1 rec yds#9L3 #61 rec#14L3 #110.471 rush TD#15L3 #250.075 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++270+15.3%
    12.25#19 RB
  • RB
    Keaton MitchellRole Up26.8 rush yds#30L3 #297.6 rec yds#9L3 #62.5 rec#14L3 #110.142 rush TD#15L3 #250.161 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++420+6.7%
    7.11#39 RB
  • RB
    Kimani Vidal31.2 rush yds#30L3 #298.9 rec yds#9L3 #61 rec#14L3 #110.13 rush TD#15L3 #250.114 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++390+0.9%
    6.44#46 RB
  • WR
    Ladd McConkey47.8 rec yds#31L3 #273.4 rec#28L3 #250.23 TD#32L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    9.57#39 WR
  • WR
    Quentin Johnston40.1 rec yds#31L3 #272.5 rec#28L3 #250.249 TD#32L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    8#56 WR
  • WR
    Tre Harris35.3 rec yds#31L3 #272.7 rec#28L3 #250.255 TD#32L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    7.71#57 WR
  • WR
    Brenen ThompsonLimited13.4 rec yds#31L3 #271.7 rec#28L3 #250.13 TD#32L3 #30no FanDuel line yet
    3.15#101 WR
  • TE
    Oronde Gadsden II31.2 rec yds#3L3 #12.4 rec#2L3 #20.213 TD#4L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    6.91#25 TE
  • TE
    Charlie KolarRole Up16.5 rec yds#3L3 #11.4 rec#2L3 #20.111 TD#4L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    3.89#42 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
NENEPatriots
21.0–18.7 total 39.7 · NE by 2.3
NYJNYJJets
NYJ @ NESun 10/18 12:00 PM CTGillette Stadiumoutdoors, fieldturfClear56°F · wind 9 mph · 1% precipLOW riskMarket NE -7.5 · O/U 43.5 | Model NE by 2.3 · 39.7
NE by 10+30% close, low40% shootout11% NYJ by 10+19%

How the model sees the game ending: 30% NE wins by 10+40% close game, under 51 total points 11% shootout (close, 51+ points)19% NYJ wins by 10+

  • NEvs NYJ DPass#29L3 #19QB rush#21L3 #16RB rush#8L3 #3RB rec#18L3 #10WR#24L3 #18TE#26L3 #19
  • Out this weekA.J. Brown WR · ankle - IR 9/12, eligible to return; not yet designated (Vra
  • QB
    Drake Maye254.7 pass yds#29L3 #19FD 237 +181.46 pass TD#19L3 #2229.7 rush yds#21L3 #16FD 28 +20.19 rush TD#22L3 #15Passing Yards 237+-114+3.9%
    21.14#6 QB
  • RB
    Rhamondre Stevenson44.7 rush yds#8L3 #3FD 71 -2623.5 rec yds#18L3 #10FD 20 +43 rec#15L3 #5FD 3 +00.296 rush TD#7L3 #30.153 rec TD#3L3 #3!Receiving Yards 20+-114-4.4%
    12.17#20 RB
  • RB
    TreVeyon Henderson45 rush yds#8L3 #310 rec yds#18L3 #100.5 rec#15L3 #50.231 rush TD#7L3 #30.069 rec TD#3L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    8.12#33 RB
  • RB
    Corey Kiner15.7 rush yds#8L3 #33.5 rec yds#18L3 #100.4 rec#15L3 #50.121 rush TD#7L3 #30.031 rec TD#3L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    3.36#60 RB
  • WR
    Mack HollinsRole Up46.7 rec yds#24L3 #183.6 rec#14L3 #140.251 TD#17L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    9.77#36 WR
  • WR
    Romeo Doubs44.3 rec yds#24L3 #182.8 rec#14L3 #140.299 TD#17L3 #18!Anytime TD 1++165-11.8%
    9.06#43 WR
  • WR
    DeMario Douglas28.8 rec yds#24L3 #182.4 rec#14L3 #140.223 TD#17L3 #18!Anytime TD 1++240-9.7%
    6.63#64 WR
  • WR
    Efton Chism IIIRole Up18 rec yds#24L3 #181.6 rec#14L3 #140.175 TD#17L3 #18!Anytime TD 1++320-7.3%
    4.47#90 WR
  • TE
    Hunter Henry39.7 rec yds#26L3 #193.2 rec#24L3 #180.235 TD#26L3 #22Anytime TD 1++180-15.2%
    8.58#14 TE
  • TE
    Eli RaridonRole Up25.3 rec yds#26L3 #192 rec#24L3 #180.181 TD#26L3 #22Anytime TD 1++400-3.5%
    5.62#31 TE
  • NYJvs NE DPass#23L3 #16QB rush#25L3 #23RB rush#24L3 #21RB rec#5L3 #7WR#20L3 #19TE#22L3 #15
  • QB
    Geno Smith206.1 pass yds#23L3 #16FD 222 -161.27 pass TD#19L3 #88 rush yds#25L3 #230.1 rush TD#11L3 #4!Passing Yards 222+-114-10.2%
    16.56#22 QB
  • RB
    Breece Hall59.2 rush yds#24L3 #2125.9 rec yds#5L3 #73.4 rec#9L3 #50.397 rush TD#7L3 #30.139 rec TD#15L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++120-3.7%
    14.89#14 RB
  • RB
    Braelon AllenRole Up39.1 rush yds#24L3 #214 rec yds#5L3 #71.4 rec#9L3 #50.231 rush TD#7L3 #30.12 rec TD#15L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++120-15.9%
    7.47#38 RB
  • RB
    Isaiah Davis6.3 rush yds#24L3 #217.9 rec yds#5L3 #70.3 rec#9L3 #50.039 rush TD#7L3 #30.034 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    2.38#68 RB
  • WR
    Garrett Wilson67.9 rec yds#20L3 #19FD 76 -85.9 rec#11L3 #12FD 7 -10.399 TD#9L3 #5!Anytime TD 1++170-4.1%
    15.08#12 WR
  • WR
    Adonai MitchellLimited41.6 rec yds#20L3 #193.5 rec#11L3 #120.303 TD#9L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    9.26#41 WR
  • WR
    Isaiah Williams25.2 rec yds#20L3 #192.1 rec#11L3 #120.131 TD#9L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    5.51#76 WR
  • WR
    Tim PatrickLimited17.3 rec yds#20L3 #191.4 rec#11L3 #120.17 TD#9L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    4.19#94 WR
  • TE
    Kenyon Sadiq29.2 rec yds#22L3 #152.8 rec#21L3 #170.227 TD#21L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    7.08#24 TE
  • TE
    Mason TaylorLimited22.6 rec yds#22L3 #153 rec#21L3 #170.18 TD#21L3 #14!Anytime TD 1++420-2.8%
    6.37#27 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
NONOSaints
22.8–24.7 total 47.5 · NYG by 2.0
NYGNYGGiants
NO @ NYGSun 10/18 12:00 PM CTMetLife Stadiumoutdoors, fieldturfClear61°F · wind 8 mph · 1% precipLOW riskMarket NO -1.5 · O/U 45.5 | Model NYG by 2.0 · 47.5
NO by 10+20% close, low30% shootout21% NYG by 10+29%

How the model sees the game ending: 20% NO wins by 10+30% close game, under 51 total points 21% shootout (close, 51+ points)29% NYG wins by 10+

If Close, low scoring (30%)Cam Skattebo receiving yards 13+ -11456%+2
  • NOvs NYG DPass#26L3 #29QB rush#5L3 #2RB rush#11L3 #12RB rec#28L3 #30WR#18L3 #26TE#16L3 #17
  • Out this weekTravis Etienne RB · hamstring - IR 10/1 (min 4 games, through Week 8)
  • QB
    Tyler Shough244.7 pass yds#26L3 #29FD 238 +71.55 pass TD#9L3 #2216.3 rush yds#5L3 #20.19 rush TD#3L3 #1Passing Yards 238+-114+2.3%
    20#11 QB
  • RB
    Alvin Kamara40.5 rush yds#11L3 #1215.3 rec yds#28L3 #303.5 rec#28L3 #280.241 rush TD#16L3 #110.161 rec TD#3L3 #11Anytime TD 1++130-10.5%
    11.5#22 RB
  • RB
    Kendre Miller29.4 rush yds#11L3 #125.2 rec yds#28L3 #301.3 rec#28L3 #280.283 rush TD#16L3 #110.073 rec TD#3L3 #11Anytime TD 1++130-13.3%
    6.86#41 RB
  • RB
    CJ Donaldson9.7 rush yds#11L3 #122.6 rec yds#28L3 #301 rec#28L3 #280.107 rush TD#16L3 #110.042 rec TD#3L3 #11Anytime TD 1++320-9.9%
    3.16#63 RB
  • WR
    Chris Olave95 rec yds#18L3 #26FD 81 +147.4 rec#15L3 #17FD 7 +00.527 TD#9L3 #18Anytime TD 1++145+0.3%
    20.07#3 WR
  • WR
    Devaughn Vele42.7 rec yds#18L3 #26FD 44 -14.4 rec#15L3 #17FD 5 -10.384 TD#9L3 #18Anytime TD 1++270+4.6%
    10.84#29 WR
  • WR
    Kevin Austin Jr.Limited23.3 rec yds#18L3 #262.1 rec#15L3 #170.13 TD#9L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    5.22#81 WR
  • WR
    Bryce Lance8.6 rec yds#18L3 #261 rec#15L3 #170.183 TD#9L3 #18no FanDuel line yet
    2.71#102 WR
  • TE
    Juwan Johnson51.4 rec yds#16L3 #17FD 43 +84.8 rec#6L3 #10FD 5 -00.383 TD#15L3 #14Anytime TD 1++240+2.2%
    12.31#4 TE
  • TE
    Noah Fant20.6 rec yds#16L3 #172.4 rec#6L3 #100.18 TD#15L3 #14no FanDuel line yet
    5.6#32 TE
  • NYGvs NO DPass#21L3 #18QB rush#14L3 #15RB rush#1L3 #1RB rec#20L3 #25WR#25L3 #24TE#7L3 #5
  • QB
    Jameis Winston201.3 pass yds#21L3 #18FD 223 -221.31 pass TD#12L3 #810.5 rush yds#14L3 #150.11 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 223+-114-12.7%
    16.2#24 QB
  • RB
    Cam Skattebo56.6 rush yds#1L3 #1FD 58 -121.3 rec yds#20L3 #25FD 13 +82 rec#18L3 #24FD 2 +00.388 rush TD#1L3 #10.116 rec TD#15L3 #11!Receiving Yards 13+-114+3.8%
    13.31#16 RB
  • RB
    Devin SingletaryLimited19.1 rush yds#1L3 #19.4 rec yds#20L3 #251.6 rec#18L3 #240.146 rush TD#1L3 #10.119 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    5.78#49 RB
  • RB
    Najee Harris24.3 rush yds#1L3 #11.3 rec yds#20L3 #250.3 rec#18L3 #240.218 rush TD#1L3 #10.012 rec TD#15L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++320-3.3%
    4.19#56 RB
  • WR
    Malik NabersRole Up66.5 rec yds#25L3 #24FD 72 -65.4 rec#20L3 #27FD 6 -10.498 TD#6L3 #11Anytime TD 1++170+2.3%
    15.06#13 WR
  • WR
    Malachi Fields29.2 rec yds#25L3 #242 rec#20L3 #270.145 TD#6L3 #11Anytime TD 1++450-4.3%
    5.79#72 WR
  • WR
    Darnell Mooney24.7 rec yds#25L3 #241.8 rec#20L3 #270.186 TD#6L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    5.34#78 WR
  • TE
    Isaiah LikelyRole Up42.9 rec yds#7L3 #5FD 49 -65 rec#4L3 #4FD 5 +00.444 TD#15L3 #10Anytime TD 1++190+1.1%
    11.92#6 TE
  • TE
    Theo JohnsonRole Down15.4 rec yds#7L3 #51.2 rec#4L3 #40.159 TD#15L3 #10no FanDuel line yet
    3.66#44 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
PITPITSteelers
22.3–20.6 total 42.9 · PIT by 1.6
TBTBBuccaneers
PIT @ TBSun 10/18 12:00 PM CTRaymond James Stadiumoutdoors, grassWindy79°F · wind 21 mph (gusts 30) · 11% precipHIGH riskMarket PIT -2.5 · O/U 39.5 | Model PIT by 1.6 · 42.9
PIT by 10+28% close, low37% shootout15% TB by 10+20%

How the model sees the game ending: 28% PIT wins by 10+37% close game, under 51 total points 15% shootout (close, 51+ points)20% TB wins by 10+

If Close, low scoring (37%)Bucky Irving anytime TD +22044%+13
  • PITvs TB DPass#15L3 #22QB rush#27L3 #31RB rush#31L3 #31RB rec#10L3 #17WR#19L3 #16TE#9L3 #20
  • QB
    Aaron Rodgers219.1 pass yds#15L3 #22FD 232 -131.65 pass TD#15L3 #183.7 rush yds#27L3 #310.1 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 232+-114-6.9%
    18.07#19 QB
  • RB
    Jaylen Warren75.7 rush yds#31L3 #3132.3 rec yds#10L3 #173.8 rec#3L3 #160.269 rush TD#24L3 #270.223 rec TD#15L3 #11!Anytime TD 1+-105-12.5%
    16.9#9 RB
  • RB
    Rico DowdleLimited40.9 rush yds#31L3 #3116.6 rec yds#10L3 #172.2 rec#3L3 #160.202 rush TD#24L3 #270.139 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    9.6#28 RB
  • WR
    DK Metcalf49.4 rec yds#19L3 #16FD 52 -33.8 rec#18L3 #17FD 5 -10.323 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++175-9.0%
    10.71#30 WR
  • WR
    Michael Pittman38.8 rec yds#19L3 #163.2 rec#18L3 #170.223 TD#17L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    8.46#50 WR
  • WR
    Germie Bernard35 rec yds#19L3 #16FD 37 -23.3 rec#18L3 #17FD 4 -10.228 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++330-2.7%
    8.12#55 WR
  • WR
    Roman Wilson30.4 rec yds#19L3 #162.4 rec#18L3 #170.209 TD#17L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    6.68#62 WR
  • TE
    Pat FreiermuthRole Up33.2 rec yds#9L3 #20FD 36 -33.4 rec#9L3 #18FD 4 -10.307 TD#9L3 #14Anytime TD 1++330+3.4%
    8.56#15 TE
  • TE
    Darnell Washington27 rec yds#9L3 #202.3 rec#9L3 #180.192 TD#9L3 #14Anytime TD 1++380-3.5%
    6.12#29 TE
  • TBvs PIT DPass#16L3 #10QB rush#24L3 #18RB rush#16L3 #23RB rec#5L3 #15WR#17L3 #10TE#17L3 #14
  • Out this weekJalen McMillan WR · IR 9/30 (min 4 games, through Week 8)
  • QB
    Jalon Daniels183.3 pass yds#16L3 #10FD 177 +61.09 pass TD#25L3 #1818.9 rush yds#24L3 #18FD 38 -190.12 rush TD#22L3 #15!Passing Yards 177+-114+3.3%
    14.1#28 QB
  • RB
    Bucky Irving74.8 rush yds#16L3 #23FD 65 +1021.6 rec yds#5L3 #153 rec#7L3 #110.444 rush TD#16L3 #110.173 rec TD#8L3 #11Anytime TD 1++220+15.0%
    16.31#10 RB
  • RB
    Kenny Gainwell15.3 rush yds#16L3 #2320.5 rec yds#5L3 #152.2 rec#7L3 #110.096 rush TD#16L3 #110.191 rec TD#8L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    7.97#34 RB
  • RB
    Sean TuckerLimited16.4 rush yds#16L3 #231.5 rec yds#5L3 #150.4 rec#7L3 #110.203 rush TD#16L3 #110.012 rec TD#8L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++500+3.1%
    3.08#64 RB
  • WR
    Emeka Egbuka43.9 rec yds#17L3 #10FD 35 +94.1 rec#16L3 #9FD 4 +00.389 TD#27L3 #18!Anytime TD 1++260+4.5%
    10.71#31 WR
  • WR
    Chris Godwin Jr.37.3 rec yds#17L3 #10FD 27 +103.8 rec#16L3 #9FD 4 -00.23 TD#27L3 #18!Receiving Yards 27+-114+2.3%
    8.87#44 WR
  • WR
    Ted Hurst III32 rec yds#17L3 #102 rec#16L3 #90.207 TD#27L3 #18!Anytime TD 1++500+2.3%
    6.44#67 WR
  • TE
    Cade Otton37.2 rec yds#17L3 #143.7 rec#21L3 #100.247 TD#15L3 #10Anytime TD 1++500+5.5%
    8.93#12 TE
  • TE
    Payne DurhamLimited1.8 rec yds#17L3 #140.4 rec#21L3 #100.056 TD#15L3 #10no FanDuel line yet
    0.79#56 TE
BetSweepPPR projection · bar scaled to this game's top player · Week 6Card imageStory 9:16
SFSF49ers
30.4–21.5 total 51.9 · SF by 9.0
WASWASCommanders
WAS @ SFMon 10/19 7:15 PM CTLevi's Stadiumoutdoors, grassClear night63°F · wind 9 mph · 1% precipLOW riskMarket SF -7.5 · O/U 50.5 | Model SF by 9.0 · 51.9
SF by 10+48% close, low20% shootout23% WAS by 10+9%

How the model sees the game ending: 48% SF wins by 10+20% close game, under 51 total points 23% shootout (close, 51+ points)9% WAS wins by 10+

If SF by 10+ (48%)Kaelon Black rushing yards 24+ -11463%+10Christian McCaffrey rushing yards 59+ -11460%+7Jayden Daniels rushing yards 36+ -11458%+4Christian McCaffrey anytime TD -28061%-12
  • SFvs WAS DPass#5L3 #7QB rush#10L3 #20RB rush#27L3 #20RB rec#15L3 #5WR#11L3 #13TE#5L3 #6
  • Out this weekDemarcus Robinson WR · IR 9/26 (min 4 games, through Week 7)
  • QB
    Brock Purdy240.3 pass yds#5L3 #7FD 247 -72.23 pass TD#1L3 #421.5 rush yds#10L3 #20FD 17 +40.19 rush TD#11L3 #4!Rushing Yards 17+-114+0.4%
    25.26#2 QB
  • RB
    Christian McCaffrey61.1 rush yds#27L3 #20FD 59 +242.1 rec yds#15L3 #5FD 40 +23.8 rec#22L3 #14FD 5 -10.428 rush TD#24L3 #110.244 rec TD#15L3 #11!Rushing Yards 59+-114-7.8%
    18.89#4 RB
  • RB
    Kaelon Black27.2 rush yds#27L3 #20FD 24 +31 rec yds#15L3 #50.2 rec#22L3 #140.192 rush TD#24L3 #110.015 rec TD#15L3 #11Anytime TD 1++380-1.9%
    4.26#55 RB
  • RB
    Jordan JamesLimited7.5 rush yds#27L3 #200 rec yds#15L3 #50 rec#22L3 #140.046 rush TD#24L3 #110 rec TD#15L3 #11no FanDuel line yet
    1.03#75 RB
  • WR
    Mike Evans58 rec yds#11L3 #13FD 74 -164.5 rec#3L3 #5FD 6 -20.427 TD#3L3 #5Anytime TD 1+-130-21.6%
    12.86#17 WR
  • WR
    Deebo Samuel Sr.42.8 rec yds#11L3 #133.6 rec#3L3 #50.29 TD#3L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    9.59#38 WR
  • WR
    Jordan WatkinsLimited25 rec yds#11L3 #131.4 rec#3L3 #50.13 TD#3L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    4.72#88 WR
  • TE
    George Kittle55.2 rec yds#5L3 #6FD 64 -94.6 rec#7L3 #4FD 6 -10.336 TD#2L3 #5!Receptions 6++102-18.0%
    12.1#5 TE
  • TE
    Luke Farrell5 rec yds#5L3 #60.6 rec#7L3 #40.064 TD#2L3 #5no FanDuel line yet
    1.45#54 TE
  • WASvs SF DPass#25L3 #20QB rush#31L3 #29RB rush#18L3 #22RB rec#2L3 #1WR#26L3 #22TE#27L3 #21
  • QB
    Jayden Daniels174.8 pass yds#25L3 #20FD 206 -311.22 pass TD#25L3 #1851.7 rush yds#31L3 #29FD 36 +160.34 rush TD#11L3 #4Anytime TD 1++270+1.8%
    20.76#9 QB
  • RB
    Rachaad White30.9 rush yds#18L3 #22FD 21 +1013 rec yds#2L3 #12.5 rec#1L3 #10.203 rush TD#24L3 #270.129 rec TD#8L3 #3!Rushing Yards 21+-114+6.4%
    8.95#30 RB
  • RB
    Jacory Croskey-Merritt47.7 rush yds#18L3 #22FD 40 +85.8 rec yds#2L3 #11 rec#1L3 #10.282 rush TD#24L3 #270.073 rec TD#8L3 #3!Rushing Yards 40+-114-1.8%
    8.31#32 RB
  • RB
    Austin EkelerLimited14 rush yds#18L3 #2213 rec yds#2L3 #11.3 rec#1L3 #10.103 rush TD#24L3 #270.061 rec TD#8L3 #3no FanDuel line yet
    4.68#53 RB
  • WR
    Stefon Diggs49.8 rec yds#26L3 #224.7 rec#20L3 #120.375 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++185-4.2%
    11.9#22 WR
  • WR
    Terry McLaurin53.9 rec yds#26L3 #223.6 rec#20L3 #120.348 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++185-5.6%
    11.08#28 WR
  • WR
    Antonio Williams29.9 rec yds#26L3 #223 rec#20L3 #120.227 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++330-2.7%
    7.24#59 WR
  • WR
    Treylon BurksRole Up19.3 rec yds#26L3 #221.3 rec#20L3 #120.176 TD#17L3 #11!Anytime TD 1++450-1.7%
    4.24#92 WR
  • TE
    Chig Okonkwo30.4 rec yds#27L3 #213 rec#19L3 #160.204 TD#26L3 #22Anytime TD 1++300-6.9%
    7.24#22 TE
  • TE
    John Bates9.2 rec yds#27L3 #211.2 rec#19L3 #160.111 TD#26L3 #22no FanDuel line yet
    2.8#50 TE

Picks. Data. Edge. Sweep.